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Two NBER papers on COVID beliefs and behavior https://www.nber.org/papers/w27245.pdf … https://www.nber.org/papers/w27237.pdf … 1) a small increase in Fox News viewership decreases social distancing (SD) behavior by 9% 2) exaggerated beliefs about COVID's threat leads to fatalism, which also reduces SD behaviorpic.twitter.com/JdyzE07JKH
Interpretation 1: there is a goldilocks zone of healthy fear about COVID Interpretation 2: sounds wild but: accurate, non-sensational, non-denialist scientific info about this disease might lead to precisely the sort of public behavior that's most likely to limit its transmission
Trust in academia on the right is roughly 0% bc there are almost no Trump-supporting professors or peer reviewers. No one on the right will believe this, and the left already believed it.
Should we trust the models that have been wrong since day 1? I get it we needed to self quarantine to get under wraps. However, not one “scientist” will come out and say we probably over did it. But let’s take a poll on Fox News viewers while every night CNN keeps the death toll
*over*did it? I think we under-did it.
I strongly suspect (1) has got the causality backwards. They try to filter out the confounding, but people who are more likely to watch a channel just because it's a lower number on the TV dial are *also* a self-selected (or at least confounded) group.
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