Alex Woodard na Twitteru: "To conclude even without 10ks we can take @binance burns and learn a great deal about the overall health of the company."

@Crypto_Alex17

Economics(finance for a small liberal arts school) Major Whitman College l Research Analyst @Arca l Reach out: alex@ar.ca

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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Importantly, the 2,216,888 BNB represents a token retirement rate of 1.51% (tokens burnt/shares outstanding) this quarter, well above their average of 1.08% per quarter. This pushes back against the critique of buyback and burn models not burning supply at quick rates

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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Though at similar levels of Revenue as 2017, Binance is a very different company than what they were two years ago. This is most clearly represented in Trading Volumes which are still well below 2017 and 2018 levels Data from Digital Assets Datapic.twitter.com/4RWeFsc9h1

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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With Spot Volumes still declining, the introduction of new products such as futures have been a success for Binance.pic.twitter.com/nufy8lYizs

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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So much so that since they were introduced in September, they have often represented more volume than their spot market. Side note: Though @BinanceAmerica volumes so early initial growth (due to no trading fees promotion) they did not have the same impact as futures.pic.twitter.com/LQr26mdkmf

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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Revenues and Trading volumes are incredibly important to follow when tracking $BNB as BNB quarterly returns are highly correlated with them. BNB and Revenues growth Corr: 0.989 BNB and Trading Volumes growth Corr: 0.791pic.twitter.com/loFeHd1ObY

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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Though @cz_binance has stated that the revenue growth has come from Futures, I don't think that tells the full story. We can find the Average Trading Fee by dividing the Implied Rev by Trading Volumes. As we can see the implied avg trading fee has increased the last 2 quarterspic.twitter.com/20F0Yx2Ziv

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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We can make some assumptions about this. Due to Binance's fee tiers, we can assume that the amount of smaller traders who don't qualify for fee discounts has increased. Note: This is an imperfect analysis as it does not subtract rev from OTC, IEO's, ect. (source: binance)pic.twitter.com/UvcirAoPpc

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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Using sensitivity analysis we can analyze how different implied avg fee impacts revenues and thus impacts burn amounts. Note: This is annualized and the three scenarios are based on different growth rates in trading volumes.pic.twitter.com/DRkGwiAKwq

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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To wrap this up, we can use the disclosed burns to create multiples similar to a Price to Earnings by comparing the price to burn per share. The current PB ratio is 66.30 well below the average of 108.67.pic.twitter.com/eGagCTwROY

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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Similarly, we can create a Price to Implied Earnings ratio. Current: 13.26 Average: 21.73pic.twitter.com/k4KMiOXhH9

1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 9 korisnika označava da im se sviđa

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Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij

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To conclude even without 10ks we can take @binance burns and learn a great deal about the overall health of the company.

15:24 - 20. sij 2020.

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1. Alex Woodard‏ @Crypto_Alex17 20. sij
  
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  Disclosure: Arca holds a position in BNB
  
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  Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. Poništi
  
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