Big city trends tend to overstate national trends, so a 5% increase in murder in big cities tends to mean a 2-3% increase nationally. But this year we have no idea what will happen with the national figure.
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Final national murder update of 2020: Murder up 36.7% in 57 agencies with data through at least September (though most have data through November). Murder up in 51 of 57, 37 of 58 agencies reporting murder up more than 30%. Spreadsheet here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Z9b5mIwztAwmEHJW7Q5DHMjS14-Rs7XIXOt33Al_rDw/edit#gid=1757262194 …pic.twitter.com/5HgVmwGmDS
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The largest national % increase ever reported (data since 1960) was 12.7% in 1968 and the largest # increase was 1,938 in 1990. A 15% increase this year (and I think it'll be much larger) would mean 2,400 more murders & be the worst one year increase in murder ever recorded.
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You see it in cities big and small, and I'm not counting places like Columbus (OH) that have set annual murder records but I can't find matching YTD data for 2019.
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Finally, this is what the national murder rate trend looks like with a 20 or 25% increase in 2020. Roughly where it was in the late 1990s, down 35-40% from where it was in 1993.pic.twitter.com/Rqbm7uZSup
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Surely you realize most cities are “Democrat run” yes?
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Thanks, Jeff Asher. Do you know how many of the victims are female? Or know where I can find that figure?
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I'm impressed with Pittsburgh's low numbers.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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