America has an underincarceration problem.pic.twitter.com/qcujSCKxW2
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My example wasn’t there was only 5 bad apples. In a bag of apples that large there’s going to be some non-zero number of bad apples in all probability above 5. Also you should probably use more Bayesian ideas here; there’s an incentive to find bad apples.
You set out an *extremely* simple probability example that's solvable using the binomial distribution and it ... illustrated exactly the point you thought you were refuting There's no "incentive to find bad apples" either - the opposite actually - those are the best apples found
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