Which was correct. It wasn’t possible to ‘halt the spread’, and the attempt to do so has wasted public resources (and violated human rights, etc.) Good advice this was.https://twitter.com/YearCovid/status/1357282982634147842 …
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Different circumstances mean identical inputs will give vastly different results.
Even New Zealand though, they had to lock-down what, 4 months, to suppress the effect a few dozen positives? What would be the equivalent required-lockdown-length (as a function of seeding) for some place the size of the UK, and how-early would that have required doing it?
My hunch is that above some size+density it’s pretty binary: Either you seal-the-borders early enough prevent almost-all seeding, or The only ‘lockdown’ that could successfully-suppress would be infeasibly long and lead to social unrest, hence self-defeating. A non-solution
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