I disagree with Guns, Germs and Steel. Diamond makes lots of claims that seem dubious to me. E.g. says zebras seem vastly harder to tame than horses. But you would have to compare against the early wild horses, obviously! We have no reason to think zebras are harder.
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We would start with a prior of randomness, for one.
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Friendly reminder that Elon Musk is the most successful African
End of conversation
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