Useless but fun speculation of the day: If you were suddenly transported back to the 12th century, what useful modern inventions could you re-create, using only then-current technology, or technologies you made from then-current technology?
Ah, but then you need to explain the mathematics of statistics and probability as well.
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Oh the difference should be large enough that no statistics will be needed for it to be persuasive- just good old counting. Even roman numerals would do

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You're badly failing your mental modeling of the thought process of intelligent people who don't have a concept of probabilistic reasoning. "Ah but that one guy in that group did get sick so it's not a necessary cause"
End of conversation
New conversation -
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