Hey @gcochran99 I just noticed something interesting about this blog post of yours discussing false paternity rates.
Present day fp rates ~1%
Historical surname / gene mismatch also close to those numbers
BUT 1% per generation gives you ~82% not ~99%https://westhunt.wordpress.com/2013/01/27/by-blows-paternal-age-and-all-that/ …
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Replying to @CovfefeAnon
"Historical surname / gene mismatch also close to those numbers" - no, it's not. You have misunderstood. Are you trying to destroy my faith in covfefe?
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Replying to @gcochran99
Asking a few questions to be sure I got this right. The numbers in the left picture imply that the p(zero false paternity events over X number of generations) = .9927, .984, .987, right? Assume 10 generations and you need to have p(correct paternity) of .999 per gen, no?pic.twitter.com/lzTkLT4GAa
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Replying to @CovfefeAnon @gcochran99
Present day numbers are no where close to this from the numbers you presented.
9:39 AM - 10 Jul 2020
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