It shows how many have the antibodies. But how many fought it off without the need for new antibodies, and how many Spanish are susceptible to the virus in the first place? I am getting the impression from this crisis that the science of immunity is still rather young. Fair?
No. The only places where it's shown up in large numbers have had massive deaths accompanying it; there's no where on Earth with lots of COVID and no deaths. People are mentally modeling this wrong b/c they don't understand exponential growth - slow and steady then explodes
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Like rice on a chessboard, perhaps?https://twitter.com/sleuthsome/status/1235499400253882369?s=20 …
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Sure. The part that people don't internalize is the implications of the amount added on day x being double the amount added on day x-1. If the doubling period is 10 days under isolation measures then 40 days before you reach 60% you're at a mere 3.75%. https://westhunt.wordpress.com/2020/05/13/how-far-weve-come/ …
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