90 year olds have negative life expectancy, don’t you know?https://twitter.com/kderosa/status/1259336591585300480 …
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Replying to @JayMan471
All I know is under the doomsday
@gcochran99 scenario when 2 million people drop dead from covid19 he conveniently leaves out the part where 1.8 million of them will be over 65 (skewed to those on death’s door already) and 200k will be under 65 skewed to the top of the scale.1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @kderosa @JayMan471
_You_ left out the part where the deaths of a couple of million mostly-old people doesn't much bother you. But don't worry, everybody could tell.
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Replying to @gcochran99 @JayMan471
It does bother me. What bothers me more is that instead of a blanket lock down of young and healthy our efforts and resources should be directed to people who are really at risk. You seem to be happy that they’re all confined together in nursing homes. It’s easy to virtue signal
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Replying to @kderosa @JayMan471
Funny, then, that you that you systematically misrepresent the risk of the disease, how much it decreases life expectancy, how herd immunity works and what it would take to achieve it, the role of private vs public health systems, etc. Alla same direction.
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Replying to @gcochran99 @JayMan471
No I just disagree with your hot takes on covid19 and your propensity to exaggerate the risks. Stick to HBD you do much better there. You don’t seem to have the temperament to evaluate the trade offs inherent with risk. You act like death is something new that started in 2020
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Replying to @kderosa @JayMan471
You seem to think that the right way to evaluate tradeoffs is to be first be as wrong as possible about the facts of the matter.
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Replying to @gcochran99 @JayMan471
Hey, I’m not the one who flubbed the death count by a magnitude. The fact that you keep doubling down on this error is simply adorable though. Maybe you’ll turn out to be right and things go sideways but that looks increasingly unlikely each day as things level off.
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"Things level off" - it's an infectious disease - it's either spreading to saturation or going extinct. It doesn't "level off" because you're weary of paying attention.
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Problem for the doomsday guys is that it’s leveling off way before they predicted it should be
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The concept of "leveling off" is nonsensical. You're anthropomorphizing the virus as an actor that was making an effort but now has given up. It's not - it will only stop when it reaches saturation or goes extinct.
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It would appear that that mr virus graph is leveling off is then going extinct or is that too much anthropomorphizing for you.pic.twitter.com/G8VRqdBdO1
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You may or may not have noticed that over the past few weeks people have changed their behavior to make it harder for the virus to infect them. Unsurprisingly, this has slowed the spread of the virus - which is still exactly as infectious as it was before.
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