Very interesting argument European seeding started in early November (from a trade show in Wuhan to truck plants in Europe). Which would mean that a) the outbreak itself occurred earlier, and b) the rate of spread is actually much slower than earlier thought.https://twitter.com/threedogsonekid/status/1257649388186251264 …
Replying to @toad_spotted
Completely impossible. 1) An exponential graph for R0 of 1.2 or whatever will intersect with a graph for R0 of 4+ at one point but will be below it on all points after 2) The herd immunity point for R0 of ~1.2 is low - 16.7%; lower than current rate in NYC (21%)
9:00 AM - 5 May 2020
0 replies
0 retweets
3 likes
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.