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CovfefeAnon's profile
Covfefe Anon
Covfefe Anon
Covfefe Anon
@CovfefeAnon

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Covfefe Anon

@CovfefeAnon

Not to be confused with 2001 Nobel Peace Prize winner Kofi Annan. 54th Clause of the Magna Carta absolutist. Commentary from an NRx perspective.

Joined July 2017

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    1. This Tweet is unavailable.
    2. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 23 Mar 2020
      Replying to @RebbeTakes @The_WGD and

      Having written papers with Ewald and talked with him for a thousand hours or so, I probably understand his thoughts on this almost as well as you do.

      0 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    3. This Tweet is unavailable.
    4. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 23 Mar 2020
      Replying to @RebbeTakes @The_WGD and

      Sure we are, unless we work hard at stopping it.

      2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    5. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 23 Mar 2020
      Replying to @gcochran99 @RebbeTakes and

      We know of a number of cases (Ebola) in which zoonoses have jumped to humans: usually they aren't that successful in humans. But sometimes, for example measles ( from rinderpest in cattle), yellow fever (a monkey virus), they are, and saying it was unlikely doesn't help much.

      2 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
    6. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 23 Mar 2020
      Replying to @gcochran99 @RebbeTakes and

      Most crowd diseases jumped from some animal species to humans. We didn't have to the density to sustain them till fairly recently. Where else _could_ they have come from?

      1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
    7. This Tweet is unavailable.
    8. Covfefe Anon‏ @CovfefeAnon 23 Mar 2020
      Replying to @RebbeTakes @gcochran99 and

      That's the gambler's fallacy in reverse. If there's a tiny chance of it happening in any particular year but a large chance of it happening eventually at some point it doesn't follow that it's impossible that this was the time it happened.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    9. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 23 Mar 2020
      Replying to @CovfefeAnon @RebbeTakes and

      Tunguska was a hoax. What are the odds a megaton-class cometary impact would hit that exact spot in Siberia?

      0 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
    10. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Covfefe Anon‏ @CovfefeAnon 23 Mar 2020
      Replying to @RebbeTakes @gcochran99 and

      The odds don't increase for each year, the cumulative odds of it having ever happened increase as years go by. PDF vs CDF

      3:16 PM - 23 Mar 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Wæcnan
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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