"Hanson has suggested using prediction markets to [say] how a given political event, such as the adoption of a single-payer health system, would affect some other variable, like gross domestic product or life expectancy."https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-wont-the-cftc-let-you-take-a-position-on-the-election-11582933734 …
Replying to @robinhanson
Hasn't it become clear over the last few years that the more policy is guided by market outcomes the more the political system games the outcomes? "How bad can covid19 be if markets haven't reacted?" - market is clearly pricing in USG intervention like in 08
8:01 PM - 28 Feb 2020
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