Another example of an Everest regression would be; "if you control for bone length, men aren't taller than women". It's a pretty common trick.
Just using Bonds and leaving off his not full season rookie year and the year where it's unknown when / how much he was using T (1999). Pre T - 7616 PA, 948 K - 12.45% Post T - 4072 PA, 437 K - 10.49% Hitting past fielders isn't really a factor in baseball - BABIP tracks this
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BABIP is a bit complicated but basically batted balls fall into four buckets: Line drives Fly balls Ground balls Pop ups The distribution of balls between buckets changes, but the distribution *within* buckets is consistent across hitters with normal variation.
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Post 1999 Bonds made more contact and harder contact and also was pitched around - in 2001 he hit safely 156 times but 73 of those balls were out of the park entirely.
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