Your assessment that small effect size predictors are useful for individual level prediction or creating population level outcomes.
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Meaning 2 - Hi *measured* IQ test result of a person from a lo IQ group - the test is likely to have erred in measuring IQ too high because of variance + Bayes theorem. A single IQ test is evidence of individual IQ but group membership is also evidence and both have to be weighed
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Could also have had environmental good luck.
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