They're desperate to avert a preference cascade when everyone finds out that everyone else feels the same way
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Maybe you're right. After all, it sounds pretty intuitive. Although some of the most dramatic revolutions in history (eg. French, Russian, Iranian) saw the support of the common people vanish incredibly fast, I don't know what role the elites themselves played in events.
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The monarchs in all cases were clueless about the seismic shifts occurring right under their noses. The most likely reason is because the people had remained silent about their grievances for so long that the monarchs were blindsided when the peoples' true feelings boiled over.
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Ah, yes, I can see from your earlier comment ("preference cascade") that you understand the concept. Maybe our elites are making the same mistake. From what I understand, preference cascades needn't result just from suppressed grievances, but also from *new* norms.
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