Haha, wow. Off by a factor of over two. Actually a bit less than ten years. For voluntary manslaughter it is 2.5 years. For involuntary, 1.5.
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Replying to @PostulkaTim @Steve_Sailer
Your position, to the extent you had one, was that reducing length of prison term is good because people serve sentences that are too long. My point was that this analysis is both purely subjective and, as you know nothing about the actual statistics, based on nothing concrete.
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Replying to @PostulkaTim @Steve_Sailer
I didn't get my stats wrong. I have proprietary US state-level data on imprisonment in front of me and the median duration for people convicted of first degree murder with no prior convictions and with no additional convictions is ~9.5 years.
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What percent of people convicted of first-degree murder with no prior convictions also have no additional convictions? I keep hearing about charge-stacking, but don't know how common it is.
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Some murderers are the worst of the worst all-around criminals, while other murderers are normally law-abiding but just really really hate this one person. Murderers are a bimodal distribution in terms of recidivism, I suspect.
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Yeah, I'm betting most of the ones I'm catching in my very limited definition are intimate partner murders. Less, "I need to kill this guy to take his drugs," more, "I really don't want to pay this bitch alimony."
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I've seen it argued that we should have short prison sentences for many murderers because they aren't a danger for recidivism: they only just hated one guy, and that guy's not around anymore, so everything is good.
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Of course you know that the system would end up doing the exact opposite and release the other mode in the bimodal distribution. The actions of these people are indistinguishable from the actions of a theoretical person who wanted to maximize crime.
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