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CovfefeAnon's profile
Covfefe Anon
Covfefe Anon
Covfefe Anon
@CovfefeAnon

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Covfefe Anon

@CovfefeAnon

Not to be confused with 2001 Nobel Peace Prize winner Kofi Annan. 54th Clause of the Magna Carta absolutist. Commentary from an NRx perspective.

Joined July 2017

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    1. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 1 Aug 2019
      Replying to @SebSteele0 @clairlemon

      But it _does_ have a bearing on actual discoveries, and on breaking Enigma. As for having no predictive power - simply false. Has plenty. Not 100% , but what do you want, egg in your beer?

      1 reply 2 retweets 16 likes
    2. Seb Steele‏ @SebSteele0 1 Aug 2019
      Replying to @gcochran99 @clairlemon

      But does it? Beyond dead man bias? i.e. IQ 0 yeah you probably won't but above 70 all bets are off. Discovery is much more bricolage than intelligence.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 1 Aug 2019
      Replying to @SebSteele0 @clairlemon

      That's just nonsense.

      1 reply 1 retweet 17 likes
    4. Seb Steele‏ @SebSteele0 1 Aug 2019
      Replying to @gcochran99 @clairlemon

      Which bit do you not like? IQ tests select for those who think the answer to "What comes after 1,2,3,4-?" is 5. Which is FALSE. It's very believable that someone who thinks that way is less likely to discover something, and I the data I have seen does not refute that hypothesis.

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 1 Aug 2019
      Replying to @SebSteele0 @clairlemon

      Since I know something about most of the more prominent inventors and discoverers of the last two or three hundred years, it turns out that your picture is entirely wrong.

      3 replies 4 retweets 19 likes
    6. Mats Vinnaren‏ @MatsVinnaren 11 Aug 2019
      Replying to @gcochran99 @JayMan471 and

      And as it turns out, easily over 50 % of the major scientific discoveries & inventions of the last 20th century have been by members of the group w/ by far the highest average IQ (w/ an astounding verbal reasoning avg of over 120). What a coincidence...

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 11 Aug 2019
      Replying to @MatsVinnaren @JayMan471 and

      Not that high: < 50%. > 20%, though. And I don't know of solid evidence for that high a verbal reasoning score.

      3 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
    8. Mats Vinnaren‏ @MatsVinnaren 12 Aug 2019
      Replying to @gcochran99 @JayMan471 and

      An extremely well-read Finnish professor of linquistics stated it could be argued that even above 80 %; I need to make sure he meant scientific. I concluded in physics & medicine over 50 % but what does one regard as "major"? As for verbal IQ, one study (1958) found 125,6 //1of2

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Gregory Cochran‏ @gcochran99 12 Aug 2019
      Replying to @MatsVinnaren @JayMan471 and

      You concluded wrong. Look at the Nobels: about a quarter of the winners in physics and medicine. Like I said, > 20%, but certainly not > 50%.

      4 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
    10. Mats Vinnaren‏ @MatsVinnaren 12 Aug 2019
      Replying to @gcochran99 @JayMan471 and

      But Nobels alone aren't enough: Einstein was worthy of half a dozen; dead people won't win it; if 3 people win for the same discovery, how we count then; many major discoveries w/ only 100+ years of Nobels to award them; many are major even if not eligible for Nobels or so; etc.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Covfefe Anon‏ @CovfefeAnon 12 Aug 2019
      Replying to @MatsVinnaren @gcochran99 and

      You're not wrong but think through the implications for getting a rough estimate - are members of that group more likely to die before they can be awarded the Nobel? Do they focus more on fields with Nobel prizes? More likely to work on large teams? Etc.

      2:53 PM - 12 Aug 2019
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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