Survivorship bias is a clever tool as manipulated by 4chan, especially pol. 1. Make tons of crazy predictions. 2. People screenshot them. 3. The threads eventually autodelete. 4. When any of them come true, share the predictions that worked. 5. Pol is always right.
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Replying to @The_Petrichory
Not being committed to making incorrect predictions helps though Blue checks could try the same thing but all their "predictions" would be virtue signalling so there'd be zero correct predictions to cherry pick later /pol isn't handicapped by being committed to a lie
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Replying to @CovfefeAnon
While true, Twitter's treated the exact opposite way. Bad predictions and lying are screen-shotted. It's seen as highly dishonest to delete one's tweet after it's wreaked havoc and pretend it never happened, so users are forever saddled with them.
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Replying to @The_Petrichory @CovfefeAnon
In /pol's case, nobody has high expectations for a bunch of anons. So the lie dies when it's allowed to, or written off by outsiders as some form of evil or another.
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Hostile observers screen shot bad predictions and bring them up and blue checks write pieces about how anons should be ignored Did the economist respond when someone recently reposted their denial that getting rid of Ghaddafi would cause a mass exodus from Africa? Same trick
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