So I've been having this question for quite some time: "Can any other global rocket players make their own (mini) Starship?" So many people are thinking that Starship/SH will stomp every other commercial rockets out there & I don't see any discussions of how can others respond.
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I fear the whole Russian aerospace industry has lost their edge. I think China can manage it. Maybe in 5-10 years. They're already starting to replicate Falcon 9 (Long March 8 will eventually land), & have a LOT of operational rocket experience now and lots of engine expertise.
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Russians could use 15 RD-191 on the first stage and 3 in the second. It's not that far from a Raptor. It would be close to a 1/2 scale version of starship.
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Europe has a methalox engine with prometheus, and experience in reentry with IXV. So they could build a starship clone.
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I think you nailed the first big hurdle to making a SS-like, the engines. Using OTS may not be viable for many, because engines must be cheaply reusable. I think SX is 10+ years ahead of everyone on reusable tech, and a major part of that is the engines.
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Now, state LV's have less incentive to respond, so can take time. ESA's Themis is a good step towards eventual partial and then full reusability, but for effective reusability they need a new engine. Same applies for Russia/China, though China is already pursuing needed upgrades.
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Could others, yes! However, as was already said satellites sometimes need smaller launch vehicles depending on the design/destination. Where starship will really show its benefits is the larger payloads beyond Earth orbit
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Others could, in terms of engineering,making VTVL rockets is the main challenge where u need super sonic retro propulsion and guidance algorithms similiar to G-FOLD.With some tweaking,i am pretty sure deep throttling versions of engines like the RD191 can be made.
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LH2 for reuse is quite a hard feat these days due to refurbishment costs so engine canditates would be hydrocarbon based engines.
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