So firstly there were consistent rumors for several weeks that after seemingly grounded since late October the LM-4 series would be back before 2020 ends. The rumors continues to hold on w/o any basis...until after the Long March 8 test flight flew on the 22nd. (3/12)
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Being so late in the year we would expect various state organizations to make "concluding remarks" in their official news after that launch. And here's the caveat: Major rocket builder CALT, S/C builder CAST and Xichang SLC (+Wenchang) all did...but several didn't. (4/12)
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The higher-ups (CASC etc.) & notably S/C & rocket builder SAST didn't, hinting at yet another launch afterward before Dec. 31. With the LM-2D & the LM-6 both officially declared their 2020 schedules completed way earlier (Aug. & Nov.) the only choice left is the LM-4. (5/12)
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Also with CAST declared all their S/Cs launch schedules of 2020 closed out, this leaves SAST as the most likely builder of the payload as well. We don't have much idea on what it could be yet (but see below on the hints by the launch time). (6/12)
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Another data source comes from movements of the Yuan Wang 6 tracking ship, off the W coast of Australia. After tracking the LM-8 launch downrange it moved further *west*, apparently just stopped at 25°26′ S 89°48′ E, fitting w/ tracking SSO launches out of Jiuquan. (7/12)
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Then today an official article on cold weather operations (rocket stacking, payload air circulation, pad maintenance etc.) at JSLC came out, pointing at recent pad operations under -15°C: https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/5XjsJPzU6yRIaZtDg8Hpeg … (8/12)pic.twitter.com/nJtIgWdli2
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To paraphase
@Rogozin - "This is not Boca Chica." (ahem), and I'm not sure those pad rats working on the launch tower are fitting OSHA rules...in any case the existence of a rocket on the LM-2/4 pad at Jiuquan is confirmed. (9/12)pic.twitter.com/VBtEcmWuhG
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Then...a wild NOTAM appeared! This time it's just off the coast of Myanmar near Yangon, fitting w/ Jiuquan SSO launches - on December 27 15:38 - 16:04 UTC! (Ref. No.: A0330/20) (10/12)pic.twitter.com/1FGrwxnG3u
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It still amazes me that even more elusive "urban myths" turned out to be correct for Chinese spaceflight, notably the reusable space plane launch that I have saw very little yet persistent rumors since *late November 2019* and ultimately happened this September! (11/12)
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Antwort an @Cosmic_Penguin
Chinese space plane? I saw no direct convincing evidence that such a mission took place. Just a lot of circumstantial evidence and hot air mostly in the west that something that could be construed as a spaceplane test took place... Time will tell on this one...
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Well, "a certain Reusable Test Spacecraft" or "CSSHQ" is quite a mouthful. This is indeed only circumstantial evidence (notably it could be "just" a lifting body), but the sheer secrecy of the mission at least points to that, even if it's "only" a capsule, it's a special one.
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Antwort an @Cosmic_Penguin
All me know is something spent some time in orbit and left a chatty bit behind... Just saying... Anything else is opinion.
0 Antworten 0 Retweets 2 Gefällt mirDanke! Twitter wird dies nutzen, um deine Timeline zu verbessern. Rückgängig machenRückgängig machen
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