Since this comes up a lot, a quick run though of the testable, falsifiable, science that supports a human cause of recent trends in global mean temperature.pic.twitter.com/VfjAuBgQQt
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Sadly I think people will misunderstand ‘falsifiable’ in this usage
Some people will misunderstand even the simplest words ('most' for instance), but that should not prevent us from talking to those that do understand.
And you might have to reinvent the theoretical bases for whole areas of science!
A mere trifle!
Gavin, no denying GHE here but can you comment on: 1) empirical observation that the TOA perturbation since ~1980 was due to more SW influx —> AOD and mainly cloud cover decrease
2) the empirical observation that overall down dwelling LW decreased over the past ~20 years even though the CO2 band contributed positively 3) Satellites haven’t measured a significant broadening of the CO2 band over the past 40 years at TOA
Worse. Since the theory incorporates underlying spectroscopy and thermodynamics you would have to falsify well established (eg rock solid) parts of those. The CONSENSUS exists because of a COHERENT, CONCISE and CONSILIENT mountain of observation and theory
I would like to see a contrarian theory that produces a successful prediction as clean, beautiful, & non-intuitive as Manabe & Wetherald's prediction of stratospheric cooling. Every year I teach that paper & every year, my jaw drops at its elegant beauty.
@threader_app compile please!
Hey, the thread is ready and compiled. You can read the whole version here:https://threader.app/thread/1217885474502729728 …
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