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At what point will all these political commentators stop guffwaffling and cackbaffling about non-issues and irrelevancies, and start regularly analysing with a little perspicacity the realities of this climate-chaos and ecological-breakdown nightmare we're all in for fuck's sake?pic.twitter.com/qnRbuGZduo
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New climate models show increased (calamitous) sensitivity. Wildfires, permafrost thaw, Arctic ice, etc show that feedbacks are already upon us. Fossil fuel production plans for the 2020s take us rapidly to 2C. Please don't try to tell me 3C by 2100 is likely. Closer to 2050?pic.twitter.com/0cg3prYEnQ
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The world's megacities - some of which are soon set to be hit by unsurvivable humid heat waves - will be swallowed by accelerating sea level rise from 2035.pic.twitter.com/SLOPm80wwo
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Did you know? 90% of the Earth is becoming desert Arctic sea ice is melting away Antarctic collapse is inevitable Coral reefs will not survive Forests are collapsing Cities will become uninhabitable Aerosols will increase warming Permafrost is thawing fast Extinction has begunpic.twitter.com/2cibSccsJV
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Remember: 1. new climate models show 2C by 2039 2. nightmare feedbacks have been underestimated 3. WMO now implies that 1.5C by 2029 is likely 4. more climate deniers/delayers in office than ever - all plan to zoom over 2C Things aren't as bad as we thought. They're worse.pic.twitter.com/nmUUch43HQ
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Did you know? The town nearest the North Pole is set for 10°C of warming. Soon we'll witness: *the end of Arctic sea ice *the release of vast amounts of permafrost greenhouse gases *sudden global warming across the planet This means extinction catastrophe for most species.pic.twitter.com/dF4WqnwoSI
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Scientists' 2017 work on world tropical rainforest fragmentation showed unstoppable collapse was maybe just several years away, even with relatively minor deforestation. 3 yrs later, one of the scientists just confirmed that fragmentation is increasing.
https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1185275374361632769?s=19 …pic.twitter.com/m20uU6Wdq4
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The major rainforest regions of South/Central America, Africa, Southeast Asia, & Australia have all gone beyond a crucial tipping point. Even if deforestation is curbed, they will collapse, with calamitous consequences for all life on Earth. No, this couldn't be true. Could it?pic.twitter.com/XC2YoXxZDh
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Overfishing has eliminated 90% of the world's large predatory fishes and is devastating marine ecosystems. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/02/080215121207.htm … Each year, worldwide, bottom trawlers drag an area equivalent to twice the lower 48 states.pic.twitter.com/2miDFowGnx
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Some scientists suggest fewer than one billion people could survive on a 4°C Earth.
https://www.climatecodered.org/2019/08/at-4c-of-warming-would-billion-people.html?m=1 …
pic.twitter.com/56G3AWUaAv
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Explore this long thread to decide whether this looks likely/possible.
https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1180518593135550464?s=19 …
Much depends on how quickly Arctic sea ice melts, as this will trigger more warming and severely disrupt Northern Hemisphere weather (breadbaskets threatened).
Ice gone by 2025?pic.twitter.com/NnyTRIJ3J5
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'the Arctic is expected to be free of summer sea ice in the coming decades. Such loss of sea ice is likely to lead to an acceleration of thawing of permafrost in Siberia and to consequent release of carbon.' https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/01/200108131657.htm … This looks set to occur between 2022 and 2031.pic.twitter.com/LfhIQH3R0y
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Hi
@hausfath Am I correct in saying that a number of important new IPCC climate models suggest that 2C by 2040 is virtually unavoidable no matter what, that ~3C by 2060 is likely now (though by no means inevitable), and that 5C by 2085 is quite possible?https://www.afp.com/en/news/15/new-climate-models-suggest-paris-goals-may-be-out-reach-doc-1no0xo1 …pic.twitter.com/pNzbIFdzNm
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Amphibians are in steep decline due to: - habitat destruction - disease - contaminants - climate breakdown - new deadly pathogens
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/09/180925150445.htm …
pic.twitter.com/VTdSMpkL1v
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Percentage of North American bird species at risk of extinction depending on global temperature increase: 40% at 1.5°C 54% at 2°C 64% at 3°C We're heading towards 1.5°C by 2024-2029, and 2°C by 2035-2045. https://e360.yale.edu/digest/climate-change-threatens-hundreds-of-north-american-bird-species-its-a-bird-emergency …pic.twitter.com/yFekLolK6z
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But worse is soon to come. Global crop failures would appear to be imminent. https://twitter.com/ClimateBen/status/1211054188513370118?s=19 …
Please read this serious thread and tell everyone you know that we need solidarity for survival in the face of ecological collapse:
pic.twitter.com/ujUAFWCkNg
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Antarctica: 1. melt rate now accelerating 2. Christmas Eve record melt: 15% 3. irreversible collapse is inevitable 4. rapid deglaciation of West Antarctica is set to begin by 2027 with staggering consequences for humanity and all life on Earth 5. sea level rise disaster by 2035pic.twitter.com/HiTjSiSvLj
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The Arctic: 1. 95% of old ice gone 2. ice free by 2021-2031 3. fastest warming place on Earth 4. no evidence sea ice will recover 5. heatwaves 20°C more than usual 6. vast wildfires mean carbon bursts 7. melting is destabilising the planet 8. permafrost collapse is irreversiblepic.twitter.com/lCEXOFeMwG
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This is at 1.3°C of global warming. What will happen at 1.4°C? What will happen at 1.5°C? What will happen at 1.6°C? What will happen at 1.7°C? What will happen at 1.8°C? What will happen at 1.9°C? What will happen at 2.0°C? The planet we think we're living on no longer exists.pic.twitter.com/jQZTfg9Ztz
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Gosh. I don't have the expertise to answer that with precision. Some say we need a 7%, others say 15% reduction for 1.5C. But that would mean from now, in this decade!
https://twitter.com/MichaelEMann/status/1204432372608847872?s=19 …
1.5C by 2024 - 2031 looks certain to me (see image from The Economist).pic.twitter.com/Ij1sRkf1JR
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