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    1. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      15/ a reminder from Obama executive order https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2016/12/29/statement-president-actions-response-russian-malicious-cyber-activity …: "sanctions" are not the same thing in the order as "expulsions" or "closures". Sanctions were what everyone was used to and expected. The expulsions and closures were unexpected and what FBI asked about.pic.twitter.com/uoauw7lZq5

      1回复 26 转推 42 喜欢
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    2. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      16/ after clause on Kislyak-Flynn conversation, Mueller indictment stated that Flynn called [Kushner] to report on Kislyak call, including their "discussion of the U.S. Sanctions", though, as noted above, the word "sanctions" does not occur in the 302.pic.twitter.com/LQ3wiQ3MNY

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    3. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      17/ my own interpretation (without huge confidence) is that Flynn, as instructed (and quite reasonably) asked Kislyak to let new admin look at things and, in a general sense, not to escalate, but expected some sore of reciprocal action. On specifics of expulsion + closures, Flynn

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    4. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      18/ would, without question, have wanted to see what Obama admin had done (rather than rely on Kislyak) and to get instructions before commenting to Kislyak on the issues of expulsion and closure which the FBI agents later asked him about.

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    5. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      19/ from the 302 - and this is counterintuitive and requires watching the pea very closely - it doesn't appear that FBI agents actually asked Flynn about "sanctions" (which they might not have distinguished from "expulsions" and "closures".)

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    6. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      20/ Dec 30: Putin saucily decided not to reciprocate with expulsions, but to invite US representatives in Moscow to a party (or similar). Kislyak, trying to build bridges with new admin, called Flynn to say that Russian restraint was due to Flynn's call. Flynn called transition.pic.twitter.com/3EoocPwUUi

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    7. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      21/ 302: agents asked Flynn about Kislyak's follow up call to say that Russia had decided not to escalate. In his best imitation of Hillary (or Comey), Flynn implausibly said that "it was possible but he didn't remember".pic.twitter.com/x64HfWZ553

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    8. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      22/ Hillary and Comey each said they "did not remember" for hundreds of questions and FBI/DOJ just shrugged their shoulders. However, when Flynn (implausibly) said the same, FBI charged that he "falsely stated that he did not remember a follow-up conversation", one of 2 counts.pic.twitter.com/td0guDCYWh

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    9. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      23/ on Jan 12, someone in Resistance cabal told David Ignatius that Flynn had talked to Kislyak on Dec 29 http://archive.is/IFfZl  - a huge sensation since Steele Dossier had been published on Jan 10 following leaks from Comey-Brennan-Clapper cabal.pic.twitter.com/NsSM1nHS2v

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    10. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      24/ Ignatius speculated on possible violation of Logan Act - a ludicrous conceit concocted by Sally Yates. Ignatius' mention of Logan Act is thus slight (but only slight) pointer towards DOJ or FBI origin of leak.

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      Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月20日

      25/ on Jan 14, WH spox John Earnest didn't see any problem in principle, that "incoming national security adviser may have need to contact representative of foreign government" despite lurid headline: "WH: We Didn’t Coordinate Flynn Call to RussAmbassador https://www.cnbc.com/2017/01/14/white-house-we-didnt-coordinate-flynn-call-to-russian-ambassador.html …pic.twitter.com/WobHIAGp1y

      下午9:21 - 2018年12月20日
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      1回复 25 转推 35 喜欢
        1. 新对话
        2. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 2018年12月21日

          26/ Obama had obligation to notify incoming admin of expulsions or even to consult. But maybe Obama didn't notify Trump team because they planned to surveille how Russia contacted transition. Would untoward backchannel be revealed? In fact, Russia contacted Flynn, proper channel.

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        3. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 4月20日

          27/ these Flynn events are discussed in Mueller Report 236 pdf. Mueller fails to disclose that Obama admin appears to have notified Russia of sanctions on Dec 28, one day prior to 2 pm Dec 29 announcement, that Kislyak texted Flynn on Dec 28.pic.twitter.com/w0LDuUbF6K

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        4. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 4月20日

          28/ in my interpretation of sequence set out above, it appeared to me that Kislyak-Flynn conversation took place prior to Flynn being aware of terms of Obama admin announcement (~2:15 pm), but Mueller indicates that call was in evening of Dec 29pic.twitter.com/NL6euF9syU

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        5. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 4月20日

          29/ incoming Trump admin didn't want the departing Obama admin to escalate tensions as a sort of parting booby trap. Trump is also reported to have interpreted Obama's action as an attempt to "delegitimize election" - an interpretation that seems quite reasonable in retrospectpic.twitter.com/Hwo7ZUb4jh

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        6. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 4月20日

          30/ as is Flynn called Kislyak and asked that Russia not make the situation worse. Recognizing that there was a new incoming administration, Russia decided not to escalate.pic.twitter.com/sonGZh7p2J

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        7. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 4月20日

          31/ on Dec 31, Kislyak called Flynn to convey that Russia had decided not to escalate tensions.pic.twitter.com/QuKTwhjKKw

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        8. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 4月20日

          32/ description of events thus far in Mueller Report more or less follows Indictment. Now something new from Mary McCord's interview. FBI already had open "investigation of Flynn based on his relationship with Russian government". His contacts with Kislyak were "key component"pic.twitter.com/nB2algdfZx

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        9. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 4月20日

          33/ on what predicate did FBI open investigation into Flynn's "relationship with Russian government"? When did they open investigation? Did they have surveillance on Flynn? For how long?

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        10. Stephen McIntyre‏ @ClimateAudit 4月20日

          34/ McCord's evidence suggests that story about Flynn's discussion with Kislyak being incidentally picked up during routine surveillance of Kislyak is a legend. It seems more likely that they were surveilling Flynn and pick-up of conversation was NOT incidental.

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