In other words - Statistics do not predict individual outcomes
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as someone who works in metrics, it does not shock me in the least how bad people are about statistical analysis and risk assessment
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Exactly. He took a 6% worse winning chance on a fail to 100% win it on a conversion. You can't blame them for TRYING on 4th.
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They showed 15% less if stopped (dropped to 79% chance). I was all for them going, just getting the right number out there.
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The curse of probability is that such a small percentage of people understand it
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Chris...you know what it's like to be a Viking, let alone a fane. You KNOW that while statistically it makes sense in that scenario to go for it...the Vikings luck deems that to be the lesser move. This game was a low stakes version of the WC game at TCF for that very reason
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Ask
@NateSilver538 about thatMerci. Twitter en tiendra compte pour améliorer votre fil. SupprimerSupprimer
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Time to break out the X-COM parables again… X-COM: If I *meant* 100%, I would have *said* 100%!
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& take it in the nuts we did
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Le chargement semble prendre du temps.
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