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‘Russia will be watching Belarus very closely, as it did with Ukraine in 2014.'
Short of direct intervention, 'Russia can take other steps to try and settle the situation, to try to get a new leadership in Belarus if necessary.’
@KeirGiles on unrest in Belarus via @BBCNews
1/pic.twitter.com/kXdHqYWPbD
2/ ‘Lukashenka’s security apparatus and mechanisms of repressing dissent remain fairly strong. But it could come down to just one single incident that has a cascading effect and changes the situation across the country completely.’
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