I will say that there are people whose opinions I really respect and it can feel hard to say something I worry they'll think is dumb. This feels pretty normal and human, some of them do well at countering this, some less well, mostly people are pretty nice.

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Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Feb 2

quick someone do a Fermi on how much of the UK/US productivity gap can be explained by the time it takes to type more "u"s in words

Here's a MUCH more radical twitter feature to improve discourse. This one could change the world. *Signal boost tweets in proportion to forecasting accuracy.*

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Replying to

Unironically

Nicholas says, NGDP Targeting Now!

@captgouda24

Jan 31

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Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 31

During SBF stuff there was a tweet about how you can't buy anything bigger than a car, you can't really buy impact directly, you're buying some amount of influence over some organization with a bunch of people who you hope will create impact - anyone know what I'm talking about?

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 31

If you'd like to use squiggle (programming language for generating probability distributions) better, or more than you currently do, or learn how to use it, there's a walkthrough / practice planned for today in conjunction with the newly posted tutorial.

forum.effectivealtruism.org

Squiggle: Why and How to Use it - EA Forum

Squiggle is a special-purpose programming language for generating probability distributions, estimates of variables over time, and similar tasks, with reasonable transparency. …

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 28

All this talk of AI timelines and no one's made a Foomsday Clock.

“Google listed copyright, privacy and antitrust as the primary risks of the technology in the slide presentation.” I’m pretty sure the primary risks are the emergence of beyond-human intelligence, artificial consciousness, and humanity’s annihilation.

nytimes.com

Google Calls In Help From Larry Page and Sergey Brin for A.I. Fight

A rival chatbot has shaken Google out of its routine, with the founders who left three years ago re-engaging and more than 20 A.I. projects in the works.

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Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 25

I feel like all of a sudden there's a norm of putting who a google doc is and can be shared with at the top and it seems great and if it was already happening then even greater.

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 24

It's so interesting and cool that not all humans want to be happy they want other things instead. Though sometimes humans don't want to be happy for sad reasons and I want to fix that.

Ok, I know there are problems with preference utilitarianism but I like it so much and minds are weird and not all of them want to be happy!!!! What do???

Like, I really appreciate the ability to be like "maybe we shouldn't even be doing this project / having this meeting"

Probably good to have a nagging bad feeling if in a decision-relevant conversation where A is sayable but not-A is not (though this proves a little too much). But also good to have the skill to say not-A when it's socially complicated in a way that doesn't sound adversarial.

If you're one of the people who doesn't use guesstimate as often as you'd like, come try it out with us!

Quote Tweet

Victoria Brook

@toribrk_ea

Jan 24

Also, join us in the EA Gathertown at 6pm GMT to get a feel for Guesstimate and ask any questions you have! [3/3] forum.effectivealtruism.org/events/Ehh7KYJ

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Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 24

What are the worst arguments you've made or encountered for AI risk being important?

This was a thoughtful take on three reasons to be skeptical about catastrophic risk from AI: selection effects about who engages with the arguments, community epistemic problems, and issues with chains of reasoning involving imperfect concepts. twitter.com/NunoSempere/st

This Tweet is unavailable.

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 23

There's a bunch of interesting tools for thought and truth-seeking out there that maybe could be used more and better, and

@toribrk_ea

has been putting a bunch of work into collecting them, making tutorials for them and creating a sequence that will be coming out over this week.

Quote Tweet

Victoria Brook

@toribrk_ea

Jan 23

On the EA forum today, an introduction to the project I’ve been working on! Ever struggled to explain a view or find a crux? I've written quick introductions on software tools I think could be underused to help collaborative truth-seeking like this! [1/3] forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5WQQvoHr

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I would love to see an AI x risk adversarial collaboration. Who are the two people who should write it?

would like acknowledgement for the buzzing sound that originated this joke

True health comes from understanding your cicadian rhythm, which is why I only wake up every 13 years

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Who decided to call it AI risk instead of Malignment?

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 18

How can he call it "Conversations with Tyler" and not "Towen Hall"

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 13

ANXIETY FOR THE ANXIETY GODS, the luddites shout

transhumanism doesn’t just mean I should pick how my body looks it means I should get to pick how I feel at all times

Delighted by what my google history looks like when doing a bunch of quick forecasts

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 10

So many decisions made on my behalf all the time! The full space does not exist! (maybe for good reasons but who knows)

Why do only browsers (and some file explorers) have tabs? I'd be down for whatsapp tabs so I can see multiple conversations at once. Is there a technical reason?

Very little makes me go look things up like starting to type out "but I haven't looked into this at all."

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 9

Was anyone in MUN in college / high school for a good team? Can I talk to you about your crisis committee?

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 9

Anyone know any experts in crisis preparation / tabletop exercises / that kind of thing? I'd be curious to interview them.

Chana

@ChanaMessinger

Jan 9

Like this emaildebtforgiveness.me but for everything

emaildebtforgiveness.me

Celebrate Email Debt Forgiveness Day!

If there’s an email response you’ve wanted to send but been too anxious to send, you can send it today

Going to use "happy to blank slate this conversation" or "can we blank slate this conversation" as a way of erasing conversational debt for my anxious friends and my anxious mes who want to talk to people without thinking of all the failed nonresponses right there in the chat.