'Russia’s aggression against Ukraine is helping to consolidate Moldovan society in favor of EU integration and emancipation from Moscow,' writes Galiya Ibragimova. Via .
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Carnegie Russia Eurasia
@CarnegieRussia
Latest insights from the Global Think Tank’s experts on Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia. Part of . RT ≠ endorsement. На русском
Carnegie Russia Eurasia’s Tweets
'The massive military support the US has provided Ukraine since February 2022 is a deferred payment for nuclear disarmament in the 1990s.'
But these costs could have been lower, writes Eric Ciaramella, if 🇺🇸 had made a clearer commitment to 🇺🇦’s security.
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'An author’s main objective is to be read, and that is more easily accomplished from inside Russia, whether physically or virtually.'
Literary critic Galina Yusefovich explains why the revival of Soviet tamizdat is unlikely to have the same impact today.
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'Until recently, IMF regulations dictated that it could not lend to countries at war... If Ukraine’s program succeeds, other countries that face external shocks will be able to benefit from IMF lending in the future.' on the IMF's new 🇺🇦 program.
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THREAD 1/5 I was invited to write about my own book for The New York Times nyti.ms/42epWMi Three years in the making, the book came out and quickly became a best seller across Russia.“The End of the Regime: How Three European Dictatorships Ended”.
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'The previous and current leaders are locked in a power struggle, destroying hopes for security guarantees and the peaceful transfer of power.'
Galiya Ibragimova on the father-son competition that is shaking Turkmenistan's political system.
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New features of 🇷🇺 economic policy:
- capital control
- awkward and forced friendshoring
- fringe trade partners
- militarization of state spending
This mean - future plans plans will once again be based upon trading energy commodities
carnegieendowment.org/politika/89708 via
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"The way Putin interacts with the élites and deals with military defeats fuels uncertainty and anxiety about Russia’s future." Wise words from in her Q&A with worth remembering when one tries to put Putin's May 9 speech in context.
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The presidents of all 5 Central Asian states, as well as Armenia’s Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, will attend the May 9th parade in Moscow this year.
Another example of Russia leveraging its neighbors’ dependencies to demonstrate that it isn't isolated
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'The West’s strategy of kicking the can down the road on Ukraine’s security dilemma is no longer sustainable.'
Eric Ciaramella reviews 's new book for .
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'It is crucial for Ukraine to demonstrate its commitment to the agreed reforms and to make progress in meeting all of the structural benchmarks in a timely manner.'
Ukrainian economist breaks down the IMF's new program for Ukraine.
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For all the talk within the Kremlin of a career elevator, the federal government has very few attractive posts to offer to regional executives, leaving ambitious careerists vying for third-rate jobs, writes Andrey Pertsev.
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Your weekend podcast has arrived. Brilliant colleagues & help to unpack complex dynamics around Nagorno-Karabakh and in broader South Caucasus. Tune in!
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'For all the hope that the UAE could become an alternative to the West, the Emirates take sanctions far more seriously than Moscow would like to think,' writes .
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'The system remains hermetically sealed and incapable of rewarding those who have put a lot on the line for it.'
Andrey Pertsev via .
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'Even amid the tensions unleashed by mobilization, the radicalization of politics and the regime, and the unequal allocation of state resources, there is simply no national question on the table,' writes Alexey Gusev.
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'The right mixture of care and fear, along with clearly delineated dos and don’ts, will allow the authorities to shape any political behavior,' writes .
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'The saga of the power transfer in Turkmenistan from father to son and back again may look comical, but it is a stark example of how fragile the process of transition is in authoritarian systems.'
Galiya Ibragimova via .
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'Yerevan has realized that, ultimately, neither mass protests nor international partners who do nothing except “express concern” can make a difference to the fate of Karabakh.'
Kirill Krivosheev via .
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The oversaturation with propaganda and PR makes Ru-Balkan relations extremely resilient and able to withstand the blows dealt by the ongoing war. More on the prospects of Ru presence in the region in my paper for
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Without the help of local actors, Russian influence in the Western Balkans would disappear overnight. But as long as local politicians can capitalize on invoking Moscow’s long shadow, Russia will remain part of the Balkan landscape, writes
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Memorable pics of last week's launch of the new Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin.
Thanks again to Ambassador Michaelis of the German Foreign Office , , , and Fiona Hill for all your support and friendship!
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'The PR interdependency between the Kremlin and Balkan leaders may prove too elusive to be curbed by sanctions or other formal commitments,' writes .
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'With tensions playing out internally rather than between different parts of the country, there is little reason to expect the development of a strong sense of provincial consciousness.'
Alexey Gusev via .
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"For the majority of Armenians, the Kremlin will be seen as an unreliable ally that abandoned them in their hour of need," writes Kirill Krivosheev.
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New website alert! Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin. (Complete with a full historical archive from the late, great Carnegie Moscow Center.)
Make sure you subscribe to see our team's work in real-time and the latest from (Rus/Eng)!
carnegieendowment.org/carnegierussia
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Trivia question: what’s the best-selling nonfiction book in Russia? If you guessed “The End of the Regime: How 3 European Dictatorships Ended” by Alexander you’d be right! Here’s the book on display—in a shop across the street from Lubyanka. 😂
nytimes.com/2023/04/26/opi
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/1 In celebration of the launch of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, we’re highlighting the scholars who will be spearheading the important work and research of the center.
🧵Learn more about our Berlin-based team:
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Today we proudly announce the launch of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin, our fifth global center.
Carnegie President Tino Cuéllar spoke about the work and mission of the new center, click the link below to learn more:
bit.ly/41GxAP4
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'Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has dealt a severe blow to Moscow’s influence all over the globe, and the Western Balkans are no exception,' writes .
Via .
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On the eve of the formal opening of the in Berlin, we were delighted to welcome distinguished members of , incl. at the .
The opening was followed by a panel discussion feat. our fellow #FionaHill.
A few takeaways 🧵
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Eric Ciaramella recounts Ukraine’s denuclearization process after the fall of the USSR, in his review of ’s “Inheriting the Bomb: The Collapse of the USSR and the Nuclear Disarmament of Ukraine”
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Remarkable day, remarkable group to launch new Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin!
Congratulations and 🙏 to new center Director , (seen here speaking w Fiona Hill and ) and entire team!
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🍾🥁😺
Couldn't be happier to announce that Alexandra Prokopenko, , joins team in Berlin as a non-resident scholar working on Russian economy, technology and sanctions. 1/
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'The outbreak of war has sooner closed the values gap between Russia’s provinces than widened it, boding ill for those with separatist aspirations.'
Sociologist Alexey Gusev argues that there is simply no national question on the table. Via .
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'The state is seeking to overhaul the traditional system of government coercion, to automate control of individual behavior without involving those individuals, their lawyers, or the courts.'
via .
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'A precedent has already been established, and Russia is now in a far worse negotiating position than in 2014.'
Energy expert explains why Beijing has the upper hand in negotiations about a new gas pipeline.
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'The Kazakh leadership achieved its main goal: easing up a little and making space for others while maintaining complete control of parliament,' writes Gaziz Abishev.
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