@John2Win this came 2day. @calumrkerr known since 20 Feb & best polling so far is 3-way w/ @MichaelMooreBRS. Sloppy.pic.twitter.com/Qh5MwWRr7H
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@calumrkerr Source better as URL in chart. EC say "[SNP swing] prediction is basically uniform across country." Yr swing prob not so high.
@calumrkerr @john2win http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/strongmodel.html … is an excellent model, but "There is no allowance [in swing pred] for the referendum results."
@calumrkerr @John2Win knew my @EconomicsOxford stats course would come in useful sometime! ;-)
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