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There is lots of talk about #COVID19-related excess mortality. How does the situation look like in Switzerland? 
1/5pic.twitter.com/387JKjabNx
2020 started with a mild influenza season and Switzerland was on its way to a year with negative excess mortality. Then came the pandemic and a relatively early ‘lockdown' limited the number of #COVID19-related death to around 2,000 during spring. 2/5
Until autumn, Switzerland still had hardly any excess mortality. Then came the second wave in October and hesitancy to introduce control measures resulted in an excess mortality of 5,527 by week 50. 3/5
Continuing the same trend for week 51 to 53 results in an expected excess mortality of ~7,500 by the end of the year. 4/5
The expected excess mortality is around three times as high as during the severe influenza season from 2015. Despite control measures in place. And the pandemic is not over. #notlikeflu 5/5
Before the "you have to look at the integral" people are here (which, as this is discrete data, says a lot aboit them): The massive increase in a relatively short time period is the main clue that something *bad* is happening.
This diagram shows the exess mortality per day, the other the sum over the year. Althaus uses it to show that we will have over 7,500 deaths by the end of the year if we don't act now. I say that we will have more than 10,000 covid deaths before we get the situation under control
Those figures are highly questionable.
Why? This is just the reality. http://euromomo.eu shows today the very sad truth:pic.twitter.com/e5SuJUxrsZ
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