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Assuming k = 0.5, we obtain a probability of 58% (for Re = 1.05) and 79% (for Re = 1.1) that the 25 cases will initiate a sustained transmission chain in Switzerland. 9/n
So that's still relatively high. However, visitors from the UK (and South Africa) must now go into quarantine in Switzerland. This might prevent some of the potential further spread of the new variant. 10/nhttps://www.bag.admin.ch/bag/en/home/krankheiten/ausbrueche-epidemien-pandemien/aktuelle-ausbrueche-epidemien/novel-cov/empfehlungen-fuer-reisende.html …
Nevertheless, we have to assume that the new variant might start to spread in Switzerland during the coming weeks, particularly because it might have increased transmissibility and therefore a higher Re. End. 11/n
But in Wallis 0 people are in quarantine...
You think (know?) it is that bad?
Quarantine … in Switzerland … sure! 
That's the theory. But they way quarantine is set up in Switzerland on top of the fact that the tourist who came are probably not to worried about Corona, getting infected and infecting other people (or they would not have travelled in the first place) ...
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