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Another important insight: One week of early exponential spread of #SARSCoV2 required roughly 3 weeks of 'lockdown' to reduce the number of infections to the same level again. (4/5)pic.twitter.com/XRtBeeraWS
Time is of the essence when it comes to outbreak response: An early implementation of NPIs during SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks can reduce the number of deaths and the necessary duration of strict control measures considerably. (5/5)
Overreacting to coronavirus? The perverse logic of panic during a potential pandemic - Resiliencehttps://www.resilience.org/stories/2020-03-29/overreacting-to-coronavirus-the-perverse-logic-of-panic-during-a-potential-pandemic/ …
It conforms this analysis of what happened in Italy:https://twitter.com/RFanciola/status/1244309150861066240?s=19 …
Sadly this was clear at the start. It's why I (admittedly an engineer not an epidemiologist) didn't understand the "flatten the curve" rhetoric, as THAT implied the number of cases would be the same, rather than the last week before lockdown accounting for the majority of cases.
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