Możesz dodawać lokalizację do Twoich Tweetów, jak miasto czy konkretne miejsce, z sieci lub innych aplikacji. W każdej chwili możesz usunąć historię lokalizacji swoich Tweetów. Dowiedz się więcej
About the 0.37% CFR for #COVID19 in the Gangelt study. Estimate is probably based on 3-4 fatal cases only. Confidence interval might be in the range 0.1-1.0%. No word on censoring. Would have been appropriate to provide a proper description of the study before press conference.
Correction: There were probably around 7 fatal cases in 1,867 (~0.15*12,446) presumed infections. 95% confidence interval would then be around 0.2-0.8%.
Agree would be helpful to have proper methods description, but useful that IFR in that range seems consistent with other studies?
There are other problems with this study, like we do not know what we are measuring when. It is frustrating to see that "experts" do not want to admit that we fly blind https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3078840/coronavirus-low-antibody-levels-raise-questions-about … andhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_N0U08klXvw …
cases peaked 4 weeks ago in Kreis Heinsberg , pop=250000. Now there are 48 reported COVID-deaths and 1564 cases. I'd like to see deaths from all causes as compared to last year.
I think uncertainty due to sampling should widen those CIs, shouldn't it?
Twitter jest przeciążony lub wystąpił chwilowy problem. Spróbuj ponownie lub sprawdź status Twittera, aby uzyskać więcej informacji.
