Thanks to @seabbs, @sbfnk and their team at @cmmid_lshtm for providing estimates of the #COVID19 transmission pattern in Switzerlandhttps://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/national/switzerland/ …
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@C_Althaus an R0 of 1.1 is quite promising, right? Hope it does not change much with the
and Easter holidays. What do you think?
R > 1 means further spread and won't be enough to lower case numbers, unfortunately. Still a lot of bias in the reported data, though.
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Well - I was quite skeptical about the light lockdown, that's why I'm surprised with an R0 similar to Spain
But I guess we should not take these numbers too seriously. Thanks for the clarification 
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What people do locally has a huge influence of course. If people mingle with their neighbours, that means (very local) spread. The graphs at the bottom here are almost 'how much do people touch each other?'-measurements: https://covid19dashboards.com/growth-bayes/
Koniec rozmowy
Nowa rozmowa -
Wydaje się, że ładowanie zajmuje dużo czasu.
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