We estimated mortality among all symptomatic and asymptomatic COVID-19 cases in Hubei (3% CrI: 2.6-3.4%) and northern Italy (3.3% CrI. 2.0-4.7%). Among 80+ year old was 39.0% (31.1-48.9%) and 89.0% (56.2-99.6%). @nicolamlow @C_Althaus @JulRiouhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.04.20031104v2 …
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Some time ago not too long in days but ages ago in terms of swiss covid19 numbers, someone claimed, it cannot be higher than 2 % but is rather around 1 %, because of maths.
Yet mathematics is just language trying to describe the part of life we measure and characterise.
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your presentation ;)
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Our new preprint is about CFR in Hubei and Italy. In the presentation from February 18, I provided and estimate of CFR in cases outside China at 1.9% (95% CI: 0.5%-4.9%). Why is this not compatible?
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