Hopelijk leest @rivm meehttps://twitter.com/C_Althaus/status/1229456029152370688 …
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Thanks - there's a lot of variation in estimates; I found the preprint late last week quite interesting where they modeled the effectiveness of 'lockdown'. Obviously this affects "observable R0". Actually they suggest R0 >6. Did you read that paper (just aiming to learn).
R0 > 6 doesn‘t make sense. Most credible studies agree on an R0 between 2 and 3 during the early phase of the epidemic in Wuhan.
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Based on this preprint (agree: not peer-reviewed, not a typical expert group, but Los Alamos is not "nothing"): https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.07.20021154v1.full.pdf …
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I know the study and I think the authors misinterpret the rapid increase in reported cases which was a result of the ramp up in diagnostics.
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Nowa rozmowa -
Wydaje się, że ładowanie zajmuje dużo czasu.
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