The case fatality rate for #2019nCoV is now being widely quoted as 2%. Reminder that this is based on an erroneous calculation that doesn't account for delay between onset of symptoms and death, or under-reporting. See below thread for more on what the actual value may be:https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1224624784459255808 …
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W odpowiedzi do @AdamJKucharski
Ive been surprised this isn’t being more widely discussed - when we are quoting based on more appropriate denominators, it starts to look an awful lot like SARS-like numbers. With huge variability - but in that sense, we never did get a great denominator for SARS either.
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W odpowiedzi do @michaelmina_lab @AdamJKucharski
Confirmed positive outside China would be a better aprox to the real CFR since they are being tested even they haven't require hospitalization (mild symptoms).
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That’s exactly what we do.
23:30 - 4 lut 2020
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Wydaje się, że ładowanie zajmuje dużo czasu.
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