Various analyses highlighting potential for sustained human-to-human transmission of #nCoV2019. Current 'estimates' of R0:
- @JulRiou & @C_Althaus: 2.2 (90% interval: 1.4-3.8)
- @JonRead et al.: 3.8 (95% interval: 3.6-4.0)
- @maiamajumder & @mandl: 2.0-3.3
- @nextstrain: 1.5-3.5
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Good to hear - I’ve not yet read today’s update.
This is also why we explored the whole range of case-to-case variability in secondary cases in our study. What worries me is that k could be reasonably high, i.e., not much superspreading but higher risk of sustained transmission chains.pic.twitter.com/IDtHLPcqTM
