At any given time, there are ongoing efforts both to downplay and to exaggerate the risks. Today the @NYTimes documents early efforts at downplaying and covering up the initial spread. It's pretty straightfoward to see understand the motives there.https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/01/world/asia/china-coronavirus.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage …
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People are drawn to news about potential threats. It's a natural cognitive mechanism to keep us safe. But in a social media environment, sensationalism spreads wildly. At some point, the balance tips from those downplaying a threat to those exaggerating it.
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I think we crossed that threshold a couple of weeks ago, at least on social media. An unfortunate side effect of early attempts to downplay a threat is that they feed later attempts to sow conspiracy theories. We're seeing that now around
#2019nCov.Prikaži ovu nit -
One of the challenges in dealing with disinformation of the conspiracy sort (claims that
#2019nCoV is much worse than reported; stories about engineered viruses or deliberate release) is figuring out who stands to gain. I don't have answers there. China's foreign adversaries?Prikaži ovu nit
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What is a mystery to me is who benefits/gains from disinformation campaigns around a disease outbreak. I can understand a nation's agents trying to tamp down seriousness of outbreak, along with officials limiting info, but the other stuff makes not sense—like a lot of twitter.
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China’s government has a lot of enemies who benefit. Anyone who wants to weaken the ruling party there has an incentive to play this up. Chaos actors- like, say, Iran- benefit from economic slowdown in the west tied to trade restrictions.
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But those who have seen epidemics before & learned about historical epidemics (and understand ID epi) can interpret and remark upon the limitations of early data flowing out of an outbreak region. This is a critical role for those able to provide such insights.
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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"Shares in Japanese company that makes surgical masks have increased 500% since January" https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/surgical-masks-coronavirus-1.5447255 … ... but artificial / propped up, yet another sign https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-cenbank/china-to-inject-174-billion-of-liquidity-on-monday-as-markets-reopen-idUSKBN1ZW074 … Do you think markets are a good signal?
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Twitter abhors a knowledge vacuum.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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