Carl T. BergstromVerified account

@CT_Bergstrom

Prof. Biol. . Information flow in biology, society, & science. I love crows and ravens. he/him Book *Calling Bullshit* coming Aug 4th:

Duwamish Lands (Seattle)
ctbergstrom.com
Joined June 2015
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Apr 21

    Calling Bullshit: The Art of Skepticism in a Data-Driven World and I wrote a book for general audiences about how to spot and refute misinformation, especially in the form of stats, dataviz, etc. Coming Aug 4th. Now w/ more pre-order options:

    55 replies 231 retweets 1,106 likes
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  2. 6 hours ago

    Meanwhile:

    Replying to @CNBC
    Seattle Mariners mount extraordinary 8th inning comeback!
    2 replies 9 retweets 78 likes
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  3. 6 hours ago

    11 replies 12 retweets 111 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    15 hours ago

    In honor of , posting my fave bird: the secretary bird, which is Sagittarius - like me! Proud to be , , and among the many !

    39 replies 312 retweets 2,030 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    7 hours ago
    Replying to

    Seattle Mariners mount extraordinary 8th inning comeback!

    4 replies 55 retweets 429 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    7 hours ago
    Replying to

    "San Jose police shoot own antiracism trainer in groin as he attempts to protect young women they are shooting at point blank range." OK, so I guess that's a bit long for a headline. "Police shoot own antiracism trainer as he attempts to halt police brutality"?

    4 replies 62 retweets 168 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    7 hours ago

    "Will no one rid me of this turbulent priest?"

    "I said, Get it done. I didn't say, Go do it." AG Barr seeking to distance himself from broadly condemned move to forcibly remove peaceful protesters near White House
    4 replies 28 retweets 148 likes
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  8. 8 hours ago

    Here's a less misleading presentation of the same data from the , keeping in mind that the apparent job increase is due to a "misclassification error" as discussed above.

    12 replies 57 retweets 227 likes
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  9. 8 hours ago

    1. This is a plot of the derivate of employment rate. A V-shaped derivative *is not a recovery*. It just means you staunched the bleeding. 2. It's also bullshit:

    The better-than-expected jobs report follows a series of other recent data that points to a V-shaped recovery. Take a look at these charts:
    7 replies 73 retweets 302 likes
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  10. 8 hours ago

    TIL much better scientists than I are too cowardly to use their real names and cannot read well enough to tell the difference between models I criticized since the day they were released and models I developed.

    Replying to @CT_Bergstrom
    You're full of shit. I am a scientist too. A far better one than you. (hint: second order local expansions of death and hospitalization rates is a pathetic way to model an epidemic. it's two epidemics in most places which is why the traditional models fail - see my pinned tweet).
    15 replies 17 retweets 258 likes
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  11. Retweeted
    8 hours ago

    what is there to even say? “For three years, Derrick Sanderlin has helped train new police recruits about implicit bias and procedural justice. He wonders now if that work was in vain.”

    16 replies 223 retweets 383 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    14 hours ago

    From a brief thank you to all the people behind – at Yolo Bypass Wildlife Area

    1 reply 12 retweets 121 likes
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  13. 15 hours ago

    For a moment I thought that this was a very very long woodpecker.

    Nesting Acorn Woodpeckers!
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    11 replies 9 retweets 155 likes
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  14. 15 hours ago

    6. The fact that millions are taking to the streets in all 50 states, despite the personal risk of harm, speaks volumes. Change is long overdue and bringing about this change is a public health necessity and a human justice issue as well. Thank you to those taking a stand.

    71 replies 100 retweets 834 likes
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  15. 15 hours ago

    5. That's the science. Now the ethical side of things. I am not merely a scientist. I am a human being, and a citizen. Peaceful protest is a fundamental right and even responsibility of all Americans. No cause is more pressing than the racial disparities we face in America today.

    18 replies 76 retweets 697 likes
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  16. 15 hours ago

    4. Especially in areas without aggressive police responses, I do not expect a greater burst of COVID transmission due to protest than due to reopening activity, for example, though as with everything in science I could end up being wrong about this. We will know soon enough.

    7 replies 40 retweets 380 likes
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  17. 15 hours ago

    3. Police tactics, from tear gas to pepper spray to kettling to incarceration of demonstrators, exacerbate matters substantially. Seattle Mayor Jenny Durkan has the right idea in suspending the use of tear gas for the coming month.

    9 replies 77 retweets 650 likes
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  18. 15 hours ago

    2. While the spread of COVID seems to be much less of an issue outdoors (by 20- to 500-fold according to some estimates), and while masks appear to help considerably, crowded conditions are always concerning—and singing, shouting, etc. create large clouds of respiratory droplets.

    10 replies 68 retweets 546 likes
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  19. 15 hours ago

    1. Many people have asked me whether the ongoing Black Lives Matter protests around the country pose a risk of increasing coronavirus spread. As a scientist, I acknowledge that they may. As a citizen, I wholeheartedly support the protests nonetheless.

    93 replies 849 retweets 4,027 likes
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  20. 17 hours ago

    This sure looks like protectionism, but who the hell are they trying to protect?

    17 replies 36 retweets 155 likes
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  21. 17 hours ago

    For those of you were wondering how the White House would manage to f*ck up vaccine development in the United States…

    36 replies 371 retweets 676 likes
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