CIT (en)

@CITeam_en

Conflict Intelligence Team. Русская версия:

Moscow, Russia
citeam.org/?lang=en
Inscrit en mai 2015
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  1. Tweet épinglé
    9 avr.

    Attention: media! Some of our investigations are sent out under embargo. Our mailing list is somewhat obsolete since 2015, so if you'd like to get our investigations (like the recent one on Russia's Voronezh camp) in advance, send a subscrition request to info@citeam.org

    3 réponses 14 Retweets 36 j'aime
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  2. 22 avr.

    5/5 By our assessment, the forces remaining at Ukraine's border still present a danger of deployment into occupied Eastern Ukraine, while a large-scale invasion of government-controlled territory would certainly require moving more troops to the border. We will keep monitoring.

    1 réponse 11 Retweets 45 j'aime
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  3. 22 avr.

    4/5 This, of course, leaves open the question if the troops will actually pull out and if yes, how many. The same question was relevant back in 2014.

    In May 2014, 45,000 Russian troops were involved in exercises near Ukraine's eastern border. These troops were returned to their regular bases. Well, some of them were. They left 13,000 behind, which grew to 21,000 prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine's Donbas 22-25 Aug 2014.
    1 réponse 11 Retweets 30 j'aime
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  4. 22 avr.

    3/ With the vehicles already in place, transferring just the personnel back to Voronezh would take days, not weeks. It also should be noted that the order states the pullout will complete as early as May 1, while the initial deployment took nearly a month.

    1 réponse 11 Retweets 29 j'aime
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  5. 22 avr.

    2/ First, the order states that the equipment of the 41st army (which includes tanks and heavy MLRS), transferred from Siberia, is to remain in a camp south of Voronezh until Zapad-2021 strategic military exercises which aren't due till September.

    Latest high-resolution imagery of Russian military camps on the border with shows increase of built-up at 🛰️April 10, 2021 📸/
    2 réponses 11 Retweets 39 j'aime
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  6. 22 avr.

    1/ Today 's Sergei Shoigu gave an order to pull troops amassed around Ukraine back to their bases. Here's why it is too early to stop worrying (yet)

    2 réponses 65 Retweets 78 j'aime
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  7. 21 avr.

    4/4 This ever-expanding geography of Russian troops redeployment to Crimea and the Russian-Ukrainian border is certainly cause for more concern. We will continue to monitor the situation closely.

    1 réponse 9 Retweets 29 j'aime
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  8. 21 avr.

    3/ Kasta radars are known to be used by radiotechnical regiments attached to anti-air divisions and air bases. The only unit like this in the area is the 342nd Radiotechnical Regiment. This is the first unit of Eastern Military District we've seen going to Crimea.

    2 réponses 12 Retweets 23 j'aime
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  9. 21 avr.

    2/ The train was going to Aivazovskaya station in Crimea which we earlier noted as an unloading site for trains carrying elements of the 58th army from North Caucasus, which presumably ended up at a training ground in eastern Crimea.

    1/ has obtained satellite images of aRussian military camp at a training ground in east Crimea, some 280 km by road from Ukraine-controlled territory. We believe it shows elements of the 58th Army, recently transferred from North Caucasus.
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    1 réponse 3 Retweets 7 j'aime
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  10. 21 avr.

    1/ In yet another TikTok video of a military train, researchers spotted a Kasta-2-2 radar station. We checked the carriage ID in a railcar tracker and found out the train was going to Crimea from Chita in the Russian Far East.

    2 réponses 28 Retweets 54 j'aime
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  11. 20 avr.

    New satellite imagery shows Su-30 fighter jets and paratroopers (likely 76th Air Assault division) arriving in Crimea. US officials told WSJ there are 80,000 Russian troops around Ukraine. Ukrainian military intelligence earlier put the figure at 110,000

    21 réponses 305 Retweets 448 j'aime
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  12. 18 avr.

    6/ The Crimea camp(s), together with the one just south of Voronezh, appear to be the main staging areas of the Russian forces recently transferred towards the Ukrainian border. We will monitor the situation closely in case there are signs of more camps like these.

    1 réponse 4 Retweets 33 j'aime
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  13. 18 avr.

    5/ The satellite images also don't appear to show heavy vehicles such as tanks or self-propelled howitzers, also seen transferred to Crimea. This suggests the 58th Army might have more camps in the peninsula.

    1 réponse 14 Retweets 49 j'aime
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  14. 18 avr.

    4/ Recently, the transfer of the 58th Army to Crimea was confirmed by the military. However, there still has been no comment on the presence of the 76th Air Assault Division, seen quite close to Ukraine-controlled territory

    1/ In the evening of April 10, a video of a train with Russian vehicles, allegedly filmed in Crimea, was posted to YouTube. We believe it shows a part of the 76th Air Assault division from Pskov, whose vehicles were earlier observed travelling to Crimea
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    2 réponses 12 Retweets 29 j'aime
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  15. 18 avr.

    3/ Note that the unloading areas for military vehicle trains all point to east Crimea, same as videos filmed on the eastern part of the E97 ("Tavrida") highway. This suggests that the 58th army units were indeed going into the recently discovered camp.

    1 réponse 9 Retweets 31 j'aime
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  16. 18 avr.

    2/ As we and other researchers have noted, units from the 58th Army (known for the 2008 Russia-Georgia war) have been arriving to Crimea, including the 291st Artillery and the 136th Motorized brigades.

    В Крым переброшена 136-я отдельная гвардейская мотострелковая бригада из Буйнакска. Не обращаем внимания на конечную станцию Кировская (она закрыта и вероятно не имеет пандуса для съезда техники, поэтому прибыли в Феодосию)
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    1 réponse 19 Retweets 31 j'aime
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  17. 18 avr.

    1/ has obtained satellite images of aRussian military camp at a training ground in east Crimea, some 280 km by road from Ukraine-controlled territory. We believe it shows elements of the 58th Army, recently transferred from North Caucasus.

    4 réponses 89 Retweets 190 j'aime
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  18. 14 avr.

    Eagle-eyed OSINT analysts/military hardware geeks, any idea what's hiding under those tarps on a train at Maslovka station, Voronezh? Railcar tracking says the consignee is the 9th Guards Command Brigade (9-я гвардейская бригада управления).

    Эти фото со ст. Масловка нам прислали на прошлой неделе. Нам удалось установить, что получатель данного эшелона из Курска — в/ч 31895, 9-я гв. бригада управления. Как вы думаете, какая техника может ехать на этих 4 платформах, которые закрыли специальным брезентом?
    10 réponses 16 Retweets 37 j'aime
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  19. 12 avr.

    9/9 Regardless of how large the north Crimea deployment of the 76th Division is, it is still a worrying development, and we will continue monitoring the situation closely.

    9 Retweets 37 j'aime
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  20. 12 avr.

    8/9 Finally, it may be that some elements of the 76th are unloaded in Simferopol and not proceeding north - another video, allegedly filmed near Simferopol, showed a "Infauna" EW system (also seen on the train) unloaded and driving under its own power.

    1 réponse 9 Retweets 17 j'aime
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  21. 12 avr.

    7/ Some markings, however, were left unpainted, revealing an upside-down white triangle marking. Per researcher , this marking is used by two regiments of the 76th, of which only the 234th Air Assault regiment is based in Pskov itself.

    1 réponse 3 Retweets 15 j'aime
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