@ByronYork Most of the close polls have had a lot of undecided voters. This poll signals that the undecideds are breaking toward Ernst.
-
-
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@ByronYork Good enough for 538 to move Iowa soildily to the Red column. http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/senate-update-polls-point-increasingly-to-republican-senate-win/ … -
@DailyPundit@ByronYork@NateSilver538 Gotta love Republicans who are now Nate Silver fans. Just. Precious.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
@ByronYork I also noticed the RCP average didn't move that much when DMR was added. Even with it, Ernst still only leads the average 1.8ptsThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@ByronYork@instapundit If it's gonna turn at all, it will turn in the final weekend.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@ByronYork One of the most respected and correct polling firms. 538 grades as A+ pollster.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@ByronYork D's are sounding like R's in '12 talking about bad samples and outliers. Rarely are polls wrong with winner, just by how much.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
.
@ByronYork doing my research... should have the answer Tuesday night around 10 PM.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@ByronYork My thought: If it's off, it's not off by 7 points. -
@McCormackJohn@ByronYork Even if Ernst isn't up by 7, I still think she is up. Probably by at least 2 or 3.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
@ByronYork@instapundit earlier polls (Q & Rass IIRC) had Ernst up 7; so maybe Braley rallied & faded again?@AoSHQDDThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@ByronYork Registered or Likely Voters?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@ByronYork Outliers still have meaning. An outlier in that direction makes +1 or +2 very, very much more likely than -1 or -2. Very.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.