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ByronYork's profile
Byron York
Byron York
Byron York
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@ByronYork

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Byron YorkVerified account

@ByronYork

Chief political correspondent, Washington Examiner, Fox News contributor, author of The Vast Left Wing Conspiracy

Washington, D.C.
washex.am/1pU9zQ5
Joined June 2009

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    Byron York‏Verified account @ByronYork 1 Nov 2014

    It's seen as gospel, but is new DMR Iowa Senate poll an outlier? Last ten RCP polls, 8 have been tie, 1- or 2-points. DMR is 7.

    8:03 PM - 1 Nov 2014
    • 6 Retweets
    • 4 Likes
    • LateHitsNYC RBH Obama's Deep State David Fenstermaker Christian Garza Ed Driscoll FieldRoamer Jay Reding Instapundit.com
    11 replies 6 retweets 4 likes
      1. RepublicanChrisRock‏ @spiritof1972 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Most of the close polls have had a lot of undecided voters. This poll signals that the undecideds are breaking toward Ernst.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Bill Quick‏ @DailyPundit 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Good enough for 538 to move Iowa soildily to the Red column. http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/senate-update-polls-point-increasingly-to-republican-senate-win/ …

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Stephen Tokarski  🍚‏ @sftokarski 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @DailyPundit

        @DailyPundit @ByronYork @NateSilver538 Gotta love Republicans who are now Nate Silver fans. Just. Precious.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Joshua Crawford‏ @JoshCrawfordNE 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork I also noticed the RCP average didn't move that much when DMR was added. Even with it, Ernst still only leads the average 1.8pts

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Bill Quick‏ @DailyPundit 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork @instapundit If it's gonna turn at all, it will turn in the final weekend.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Nick Wagner‏ @NickAWagner 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork One of the most respected and correct polling firms. 538 grades as A+ pollster.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Craig K Little‏ @digs76 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork D's are sounding like R's in '12 talking about bad samples and outliers. Rarely are polls wrong with winner, just by how much.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Ray H Jenkins‏ @RayHJenkins 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        .@ByronYork doing my research... should have the answer Tuesday night around 10 PM.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. John McCormack‏ @McCormackJohn 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork My thought: If it's off, it's not off by 7 points.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Michael Rathbone‏ @MikeRathbone86 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @McCormackJohn

        @McCormackJohn @ByronYork Even if Ernst isn't up by 7, I still think she is up. Probably by at least 2 or 3.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. CTIronman‏ @CTIronman 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork @instapundit earlier polls (Q & Rass IIRC) had Ernst up 7; so maybe Braley rallied & faded again? @AoSHQDD

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. John Barry‏ @CardsFanTX 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Registered or Likely Voters?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Gerry‏ @GerryDales 1 Nov 2014
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Outliers still have meaning. An outlier in that direction makes +1 or +2 very, very much more likely than -1 or -2. Very.

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