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ByronYork's profile
Byron York
Byron York
Byron York
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@ByronYork

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Byron YorkVerified account

@ByronYork

Chief political correspondent, Washington Examiner, Fox News contributor, author of The Vast Left Wing Conspiracy

Washington, D.C.
washex.am/1pU9zQ5
Joined June 2009

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    Byron York‏Verified account @ByronYork 8 Sep 2012

    Lots of skepticism about polls. In '08 final RCP average was Obama by 7.6%. Final result was Obama by 7.3%. http://ow.ly/dz7L6 

    10:53 AM - 8 Sep 2012
    • 8 Retweets
    • Logan Dobson Rahnerian 🌹 Be the Child Defender DandyTiger® Amaury Brelet Sean T at RCP Ben Yelin
    26 replies 8 retweets 0 likes
      1. kaycee‏ @kmecf 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Am I missing something from this small discrep. in polls listed? Now PBO 9 pts above Romney , O +4 over romney in another poll.

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      1. Laura Napoleone‏ @BarnMom52 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Look @ Romney's crowd size & age compared 2 Obama, the enthusiasm is on Romney's side!

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      1. Laura Napoleone‏ @BarnMom52 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Skepticism cause of the polls weighting (many use '08 party numbers instead of '10), look @ recent wisconsin polling, way off!

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      1. George Peterson‏ @eagle01240 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Yes, the final avg. was close. The problem then and NOW is the weeks and months before. They showed a much larger gap for BHO.

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      1. HafeedAleppo‏ @HafeedAleppo 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork 7.6 and 7.3 is actually much closer than I would've guessed.

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      1. Marc Schwaab‏ @MarcSchwaab 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork They always end up close because the mainstream media polls don't want to look stupid, but earlier they all slant to the Dems.

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      1. Ed LaRose‏ @metaphorsbwithu 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        Those polls farthest off in '08 included CBS, NBC, ABC, Gallup, Newsweek, etc. MT @ByronYork ...skepticism about polls http://ow.ly/dz7L6 

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      1. Ellen‏ @ellen6019 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork I've always thought polls in the aggregate at RCP are extremely reliable. If Romney is down 1pt or less in RCP think he can win.

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      1. Zapata‏ @huppohead 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Skepticism about polls: The last refuge of the very worried

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      1. Vincent Giandurco‏ @VGiandurco 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork @SeanTrende I'm not skeptical of polls, rather of polls with odd samples (EG, +10 D; Gallup O 53% approve was ADULTS, not RV/LV)

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      1. Rob Pugliese‏ @RobPugs717 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork I cannot imagine he will do well with late deciders, indies, etc. expect they go for MR 60-40 or maybe more.

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      1. Rob Pugliese‏ @RobPugs717 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork which theory do you buy? That incumbent with 1-2 pt lead can squeak out ground game win? Or incumb mired in 48 job approve loses?

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      1. Marks2Cents‏ @Marks2Cents 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Difference is ENTHUSIASM. There are some angry folks out there who are tired of being lied to. GOP/Indie turnout FOR Romney.

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      1. Rob Pugliese‏ @RobPugs717 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork aren't large bulk of polls now still RVs? my question is, when will they all go to LV? This is key. Romney will be at worst tied.

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      1. Rick Schultz‏ @RickSchultzNY 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork when does Gallup, and the rest, move to LV only??

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      1. Robbie Sherman‏ @RobbieSherman77 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork Was there skepticism about the polls in 2008? I don't remember any. The question is will 2012 turnout look like 2008.

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      1. phillip powell‏ @ibpowell210 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork so with all these poll's does that mean its over. Why even bother having an election?

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      1. DandyTiger®‏ @DandyTigerOfVA 8 Sep 2012
        Replying to @ByronYork

        @ByronYork I think the key word is "final". As we get closer the polls updates are more frequent and based on likely voters. Not there yet.

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