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Burr0_hs's profile
Burr0
Burr0
Burr0
@Burr0_hs

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Burr0

@Burr0_hs

Hearthstone player for @ATKmode

Hanover, Germany
twitch.tv/burr0_hs
Joined February 2017

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    Burr0‏ @Burr0_hs 22 Aug 2019

    The Monty Hall Problem of Hearthstone Read: http://tl.gd/n_1sr04bf 

    4:52 PM - 22 Aug 2019
    • 2 Retweets
    • 13 Likes
    • torjuul Mahboob Ahmady Mister(ious) Ron Morrow Al≡x Hants⬡n fantaskarsef Swick3d KaratékaMan StormFever Superior David
    11 replies 2 retweets 13 likes
      1. Burr0‏ @Burr0_hs 22 Aug 2019

        I hate myself for tweeting this, but the whole theory is so interesting that it wouldn't let me sleep

        6 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Wabeka‏ @WabekaHS 22 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Burr0_hs

        A good way of explaining it in simple terms: Imagine if Hearthstone only gave you 1 card in the mulligan. Would having the quest in your mulligan every game help or hurt you?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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      2. Mahboob Ahmady‏ @Gann_Hs 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Burr0_hs

        Perfect tweet to start the day with #wennderhanneszuvielnachdenkt

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Burr0‏ @Burr0_hs 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Gann_Hs

        Ich vermisse dich mahbooby <3

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
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      2. Kanapesh‏ @Kanapesh_HS 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Burr0_hs

        Deck thinning is what happens when your deck gets thinner. In the mulligan, you do not reduce the size of your deck because you are shuffling something back, so you do not thin your deck. By that logic, the Quest looks more like a Worthless Imp than like a Novice Engineer. Duh

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Richard‏ @rebrown38 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Kanapesh_HS @Burr0_hs

        The idea is when you mulligan away the quest it CAN NOT come back, so you've eliminated it from the mulligan phase. Dumb.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. WokeGamerHS‏ @HurryUPstone 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Burr0_hs

        But if start with 3 cards in hand and replace all (including quest) you've seen 5 potentially useful cards. If you don't run quest and replace all cards you've seen 6 potentially useful cards. I think the math is clear that not running quest would let you find 1 card more often.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Dimitris Theodoro‏ @Dethelor 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Burr0_hs

        Are there people who actually believe that? Wow

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. TimmusGG  🎃‏ @TimmusGG 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Burr0_hs

        So, do we play 2 quests in wild? 🤔

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Gallon‏ @GallonHS 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Burr0_hs

        This is still incorrect, there is mathematically no added benefit to doing it. You are getting baited here. What this is forgetting is that Novice Engineer can be mulliganed away rather than always kept, same as every other card in hs. It isnt a monty hall problem.

        3 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
      3. Burr0‏ @Burr0_hs 23 Aug 2019
        Replying to @GallonHS

        I don't want to defend this stupid theory, but you might want to talk to @alexander_kargl about it. His argumentation made atleast a bit sense to me but I might be completely wrong here

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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