Today's Sacramento County vote tallies will clarify several races
#ElkGroveelections
elkgrovenews.net/2022/11/todays
Jeff Burdick’s Tweets
Here's another midterm analysis seeking simple answers. Result wasn't just due to Dobbs. Also bad candidates, horrible post-1/6 GOP brand, no positive platform, overweighting generic ballots & Biden favorability, and presuming a historical trend as destiny
2nd guessing of national Democrats midterm spend is inevitable. makes good micro case below in AZ races. At a macro level, 140 House Democrats in safe districts kept >$200M parked in their war chests with "democracy on the line." See story: sactopolitico.com/post/safe-hous
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In the closing months of the campaign, DCCC/HMP spent $2.7m to defend Stanton in his Biden+10 seat (he won by 12) and $1.8m to defend O’Halleran in his Trump+8 seat (he lost by 8). But they spent just $1.1m vs. AZ1 and $0 in AZ6, two races won by Rs by a combined 6,511 votes.
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My final tweet. Like with Facebook, can't countenance the negatives any longer. All the best.
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To understand just how blind pundits are flying in U.S. House races, of the 35 House races rated Toss-Up by , only 17 have independent polling in last two months.
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With political statistics, always study the denominator. 95% of 100 is less than 60% of 1,000. Slightly more Americans identify as Democrat (46%) than GOP (43%). So surveys that poll equal numbers of Dems & Reps are slightly off to begin with.
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Dispatch from the corporate consolidation frontlines: my timely Q&A with grocery worker union leader Andrea Zinder about #Albertsons-Kroger mega-merger & $4B dividend. sactopolitico.com/post/ufcw-loca
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Rumor is may announce curtailing rooftop solar incentives on eve of midterm elections. If this happens, will Gov. ruin his environmental reputation? See guest essay:
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Team Kermit just knocked our 150,000 door for the season!
That means we have reached out to over 
, voters.
Today, volunteers from all 10 counties in CA-03 went to talk to their neighbors in rain, sleet & snow!
Thank you #TeamKermit! 
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Elk Grove News #Podcasts - Former Mayor Steve Ly on elections, mailers, and voting
#ElkGroveNews
#ElkGroveelections
elkgrovenews.net/2022/11/elk-gr
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Is 's early voter tracker more tea leaves or useful data? As California nears election day, we analyze the fascinating & tantalizing latest early voter info, sactopolitico.com/post/early-vot
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Our last free issue before the Nov. 8 election is now out. Includes what early voters data means, a Q&A on Albertsons-Kroger mega-merger, the youth vote & guest essay on rooftop solar program changes coming perhaps Monday. sactopolitico.com
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Unfortunate to see WashPost's Dana column today "Elegy for an honest Republican" about Calif. . A Google search would have found my two investigations into illegal and unethical campaign fundraising/spending tactics by Valadao.
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Memo to the Fed: Interest rate hikes aren't working because inflation is being driven by corporations using it as cover to price gouge the people.
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Late money into campaigns says a lot. For , on Halloween alone this included more than $10K from 2 fossil fuel PACs & Dr. Oz's PAC, and no donations from any individuals. According to OpenSecrets, just 4% of all his 2022 funds have come from inside the CA-22.
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The report has been bullish on a red wave for most of the midterms. Perhaps not surprising, they have changed their forecast on the - House race from Lean Dem to Toss-Up but with no new polling out there.
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Indication - CA-3 House race is probably very close: Kiley won't risk losing far-right votes by saying he doesn't support neo-Nazis.
Early California voting stats show 15% of Republicans have returned ballots to 14% Dems. But #CA3 race leads state with 19% GOP, 22% Dems having voted. What does it mean? Hard to say, with a lot more votes to come, but following my expectations of a close race.
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Kari Lake. Glenn Youngkin. Donald Trump Jr.: leading Republicans telling Americans GOP will keep them safe, but make jokes about political violence. And in Sacramento area, GOP House hopeful won't say if he supports neo-Nazis.
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The is consistent in criticizing but often poor in its execution. Here's an opinion piece that says Kiley would be a disgrace if elected to Congress, but barely mentions his opponent & not until last third of the article.
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It's been 4 days since - CA-3 Congressional TV debate, and has reported nothing on it, though most of the voting population is in its circulation territory. From a professional journalism perspective, stunning.
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It's 10 days since I broke story of credible money laundering charges filed against -endorsed Board of Equalization incumbent Mike Schaefer. Yet no other media in SoCal is sharing this info with the voting public. "Democracy dies in darkness."
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The assault on Nancy Pelosi’s husband should remind why all journalists must report on politicians who dodge Qs about cozying up with violent radicals. Still waiting for any Sacramento outlet to match my coverage of past 2 years… including this past week.
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2 days since #CA03 debate between & , and has yet to print anything about it. Remember "democracy dies in darkness." Here is a little light:
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Sometimes short debate questions are hardest to answer. Such was so for GOP House at Thursday's CA-3 debate near Sacramento. But should "Do you support neo-Nazis?" be too tough to directly answer? It was for Kiley. See: sactopolitico.com/post/ca-3-deba #Midterms2022
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See 12:25 point of - debate tonight that deals with my reporting on Kiley's speaking at an event co-organized by a radical who had recently called for armed insurrection. Kiley lied when he said he was unfamiliar with the individual.
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#Sacramento area school board races finally attracting coverage. SacBee reported about a Natomas School Board candidate who recommended replacing polio vaccine with light. Here's guest essay in my pub on another Natomas candidate & gender-neutral restrooms
Lots of unanswered questions about this Union-purchased mansion, and it's the Union's reluctance to comment that only raises more concerns. Solid piece by
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' reports 200 polls of House races conducted in last 6 months, down from 2018's 400. This re-confirms our previous point about shoot-in-the-dark predictions. Yet has upped its GOP pickup prediction from +10-20 seats to +12-25
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Wow, has been running for Congress for nearly a year. But with just 15 days left until election day, he has finally added an "issues" page to his campaign website. But as opponent notes, Kiley's platform totals just 313 words.
According to FEC filings, @TheCityOfSacramento Council Member Sean Loloee has given $5,900 to the Congressional campaign of Republican this cycle. She is running against Democratic incumbent .
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It's that time of the year when Beltway pundits who make very nice livelihoods feign acting as exhausted by campaign season like average voters. Today it was a well-manicured fellow Danielle Pletka in cocktail party garb rolling her eyes on .
Hard to know if the below ground game by Kermit for Congress will prove pivotal, but its among several differences in stretch-run strategy between and that I report on in my current article: sactopolitico.com/post/ca3-jones #Midterms2022
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Today our campaign knocked on over 4000 doors! That brings us to nearly 120,000 doors knocked for the campaign. This is what democracy looks like! Thank you so much to the 105 volunteers who joined us today
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"Though the Schaefer campaign denied it, the goal of their [$30K] donation seemed clear: get conservative help to sway Republican votes toward Schaefer in his Nov. 8 Dem-on-Dem runoff."
See full story on Calif. Board of Equalization race: sactopolitico.com/post/schaefer-
NEWS SCOOP: Campaign money laundering complaint filed in SoCal Board of Equalization race, but this one is unique. It alleges a -endorsed incumbent Democrat & a County GOP teaming up to beat a good government Democrat. sactopolitico.com/post/schaefer-
Here's my latest scoop about charges of campaign money laundering. The charge: a Democratic incumbent allegedly paid off a GOP group to convince Republicans to vote for him against a fellow Democrat in a runoff. Judge for yourself. #political
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It will be interesting to see how this money is distributed in the coming days. With the balance of power on the Board of Supervisors on the ballot, will , or perhaps as beneficiaries?
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NEW F497
Sacramento County Democratic Central Committee
$45,000 From Consumer Attorneys of Califonia Inde...
cal-access.sos.ca.gov/PDFGen/pdfgen.
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BREAKING NEWS: Money laundering charges filed against ethically challenged (but endorsed) Board of Equalization incumbent Mike Schaefer. See latest scoop in our newest issue: sactopolitico.com/post/schaefer- @FearlessVoter
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