Tweetovi

Blokirali ste korisnika/cu @BudLite_1

Jeste li sigurni da želite vidjeti te tweetove? Time nećete deblokirati korisnika/cu @BudLite_1

  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    23. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Perhaps Mr. Mnuchin should brush up on his basic math skills instead as he obviously does not understand the fundamental cause and effect principle between carbon emissions and climate catastrophe.

    Poništi
  2. 11. sij
    Poništi
  3. 10. sij
    Poništi
  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. pro 2019.

    A thoughtful effort to anticipate key themes in the 2020s. Unfortunately, its first falsifiable forecast is false. People often over-predict change (e.g., Ch. 2, Expert Political Judgment). One reason: we get more credit for correctly predicting change than the boring status quo

    Poništi
  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    9. pro 2019.

    Thank you for inviting the professional Superforecasters at Good Judgment Inc to collaborate on this innovative project.

    Poništi
  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    An all-time classic from the

    Poništi
  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Before arguing with friends or family around the Thanksgiving table, take a look at the science behind arguing better. And it'll never hurt to try this: "Listen to people, get them to think about their own experience, and highlight your common humanity."

    Poništi
  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    6. stu 2019.

    Ed Thorp is extraordinarily smart So, when “Superforecasting” made the “Thinking like Thorp” booklist, it made my day

    Poništi
  9. 20. lis 2019.
    Poništi
  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. lis 2019.

    Over last 40 years, we labeled too many effects “biases.” Indeed, some of the effects were not even replicable. But there’s enough truth in this clever taxonomy to make it worth your while.

    Poništi
  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    An interesting read from an ex-Amazon employee who had 50 meetings w/ Jeff Bezos. It starts as a guide to writing memos (with some good tips) but becomes advice on how not to anger Jeff in meetings. Some of the reasons he gets mad seem valid, others 🤷‍♂️

    Prikaži ovu nit
    Poništi
  12. 3. ruj 2019.
    Poništi
  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    24. kol 2019.
    Poništi
  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    18. kol 2019.

    My heart tells me she is right. The base rates--for the life cycles of social movements-- tell me she is wrong. The curse of "superforecasting."

    Poništi
  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Poništi
  16. 13. kol 2019.

    Great article that can explain the loyalty of trump voters

    Poništi
  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. srp 2019.

    Agreed: you don’t “have to be” a jerk to be great. But tougher question is: Is life sprinkled lots of little choices with jerkiness-greatness trade-offs? We desperately need op-eds that acknowledge trade-offs, even taboo trade-offs.

    Poništi
  18. 15. srp 2019.

    Add Franfurt, Heathrow, O’Hare. Stockholm is no joy.

    Poništi
  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    12. srp 2019.

    Savor epigrammatic genius. Not just the greats of the past but those who walk among us today

    Poništi
  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    10. srp 2019.

    Amen, Michael Brier’s 1950 paper is one reason why meteorologists in 2019 are among the best calibrated subjective-probability forecasters on the planet. They learned early how to keep score. Unfortunately, it takes a long time for some great ideas to spread .

    Poništi

Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.

Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.

    Možda bi vam se svidjelo i ovo:

    ·