But their forecast still has this as a single digit race, projecting a less than 7-point lead for Marshall https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/ … #kssen
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.@FiveThirtyEight has launched their Senate forecast model. Right now they have @RogerMarshallMD winning the #kssen race 79 out of 100 simulations. @BarbaraBollier wins 21 out of 100 simulations.https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/ …
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Here's a more direct link to the Kansas forecasthttps://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/kansas/ …
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It’s roughly the same odds as Kelly v. McSally in AZ. The parties are flipped of course.
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If (when) McSally loses, will any candidate in history have lost both Senate seats in consecutive elections?
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Important to note that their model is using two polls from mid April and mid May prior to the polls showing the race tightening since. The model suffers from a lack of recent polling.
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My inner political scientist is screeching
@JShivelyKS
what a crippling oversight by @NateSilver538
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The polls are more than a month old. We need polls in Kansas.
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Marshall does have good odds with the always trustworthy and fact conscious AFP to contaminate my mailbox every election season. I received these two flyers today.pic.twitter.com/C3JY5JZcU0
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Le chargement semble prendre du temps.
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