I wish people would make more concrete and falsifiable predictions when it comes to macroeconomic (or tech sectoral) commentary.
-
-
Replying to @patrickc
Tetlock emphasizes importance of this in his forecasting studies. And, well, everyone makes the point that this is how science progresses.
1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes -
Replying to @patrickc
Hard to weed out the bad ideas when they're not even wrong.
2 replies 0 retweets 18 likes -
Replying to @patrickc
(Good example I wish there was more of: http://blog.samaltman.com/bubble-talk . Specific and disprovable in a bounded amount of time!)
4 replies 2 retweets 17 likes
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.