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There is a whole lot of 'home by Christmas' sort of thinking coming from the very most foolish corners of the ideological spectrum. But it wouldn't be the first time people let that kind of rhetoric and a healthy dose of stupidity back them into a catastrophic course of action.
For my part, even a brief inventory of countries which have undergone serious civil violence in the last few decades suggests that such a conflict in the USA would be absolutely ruinous for everyone. Modern warfare is crazy destructive, be it conventional or COIN.
COIN? not sure i get the acronym
counter insurgency
Yes, a civil war in a country that has more guns than people would not be good.
There's actually a lot of things I'd be more concerned of than gun numbers. Active combatant percentages are never that high, that's not like each combatant having 10 guns is that different than having one or two guns each. I'd first be concerned with things like logistical and-
Ah but you are forgetting that as an [alpha conservative/sigma lib] I can just [flex my muscles/activate 100% of my brain[ to instantly defeat the [weak soyboy opposition/brainless chud army]
I mean, it's *possible* to imagine a "short war" scenario. It looks like: conflict between rival power centers, armed services (military and cops) choose mostly one side, a few brief conflicts, everyone gives up.
Whether that's *likely* depends on imponderables -- if Blue or Red seized power in that way, how many people are *actually* willing to go out and fight as insurgents? Hard to say.
Things have gotten to the point that I'm expecting to see America in at least one bloody war this decade: either with itself, with China, or (please please no) both. And while I'm not as educated in history as you, I know enough to dread what may be coming if we aren't lucky.
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