Voit lisätä twiitteihisi sijainnin, esimerkiksi kaupungin tai tarkemman paikan, verkosta ja kolmannen osapuolen sovellusten kautta. Halutessasi voit poistaa twiittisi sijaintihistorian myöhemmin. Lue lisää
History as a giant data set
Turchin's paper was published in @Nature in 2010https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2019/nov/12/history-as-a-giant-data-set-how-analysing-the-past-could-help-save-the-future …
I am familiar with Turchin's work, in particular his claim to track 'elite overproduction' into the deep past. The thing is, I'm quite familiar with the evidence base for the Roman Empire (PhD n' all) and so I can be pretty certain that his castle is built on sand.
Your thoughts on @jgoldsto research into same topic? (or other projects/work of his)
Turchin's data is open to search, have you looked? Real question, not trolling you.
The thesis is more than elite overproduction (pic to fit 240 characters)pic.twitter.com/xSxPVo73iC
Here's article from which above quote is takenhttps://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/peteraldhous/political-violence-inequality-us-election …
"Mathematically" modeling history sounds like it would be nothing but p-hacking to find correlations and overfitting to historical outcomes. Or did these guys hold all data past 1800 out of the set, figure out the equations, and then validate against the last two centuries?
You can decide for yourself.
Here is a paper/study on @NCBI site *not* written by Turchin or Goldstone, but w/ extensive links to all relevant research, including data etc.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7430736/#!po=80.9091 …
Not sure he'll see this but perhaps @Noahpinion could weigh in re Peter Turchin, historical/economic data, etc
Okay, *this* I really want to see a deep dive on. I'm pretty optimistic about the long-term future of cliodynamics, but I'm also really leery of *some* of Turchin's claims and I think your picking apart the Roman history side of things would be really helpful to read.
I'd like to see this as well. Though I've been defending Turchin I am by no means saying he's 100% correct or his theories don't deserve critique.
The OP 1st tweet re @AndrewYang point is taken out of context, not explained other than with an imagined narrative.
Twitter saattaa olla ruuhkautunut tai ongelma on muuten hetkellinen. Yritä uudelleen tai käy Twitterin tilasivulla saadaksesi lisätietoja.
